US Drought Monitor - Minnesota
Dry weather across parts of the state have been helped to bring abnormally dry conditions back to 41% of the state, which is up from the 18% last week. Note that much of the metro is considered to be abnormally dry now, while 7% of the state is now under a Moderate drought.
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas.
I went for a run earlier this week and couldn't believe how noisy it was! The relentless buzzing of cicadas made me feel like I was through a chainsaw factory, good grief!
There's no question it's August. Grasshoppers and stressed out lawns are reminders that these are the hazy, lazy days of summer. Enjoy it because those fall fronts aren't too far away.
According to the US Drought Monitor, 41 percent of the state is considered to be abnormally dry, which is up from 18 percent last week. There is also a growing moderate drought area across far northwestern Minnesota, where rainfall is nearly 2 to 4 inches below average since the beginning of meteorological summer (June 1st). Lawns across the metro are barking for rain as we are more than 1 inch below normal through the first 17 days of August.
Warm & hazy conditions persist today with Air Quality Alerts in place across northern Minnesota due to Canadian Wildfires. Sunday starts dry, but an approaching cool front ignites a few late day T-storms. Monday looks damp and Septemberish.
SATURDAY: Warm & hazy. Winds: SSW 5-10. High: 87.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear and quiet. Winds: SE 5. Low: 67
SUNDAY: Dry start. Late day rumbles. Winds: SSW 5-10. High: 84.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Chance of showers and storms. Winds: S 5. Low: 66
MONDAY: Cool and damp with lingering T-showers. Winds: N 5-10. High: 77.
TUESDAY: Cooler. Spotty afternoon shower? Winds: NNW 5-10. Wake-up: 60. High: 77.
WEDNESDAY: Bright sun and comfy. Winds: SSW 8-13. Wake-up: 59. High: 80.
THURSDAY: Fair time! Stay PM T-storm? Winds: SSW 10-15. Wake-up: 61. High: 81.
FRIDAY: Probably dry. Not too sweaty. Winds: N 5-10. Wake-up: 64. High: 81.
This Day in Weather History
1953: Four heifers near St. Martin were lucky; a tornado picked them up and set them back down again, unharmed.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 80F (Record: 98F set in 1976)
Average Low: 62F (Record: 41F set in 1977)
Record Rainfall: 2.26" set in 1907
Record Snowfall: NONE
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~13 hours & 56 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~2 minutes & 49 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): 1 hour and 41 Minutes
Moon Phase for August 18th at Midnight
1.0 Day Since First Quarter
What's in the Night Sky?
According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights:
According to NOAA, the average peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is on September 10th. Note that activity (on average) in late June and early July remains pretty tame. Things really start to heat up in August and September though!
Did you know that lightning ranks as one of the top weather related killers in the U.S.? An average of nearly 50 people are killed each year in the United States and so far this year, 15 people have died from lightning; 12 have been males and only 3 have been females. Interestingly, from 2008-2017, 232 males have died, while only 64 females have died.
PRELIMINARY Tornado Count This Year
According to NOAAs SPC, the PRELIMINARY tornado count across the US this year stands at 704 (through August 5th). Note that this is less than the last couple of years, but close to what we had in 2013. Keep in mind that the short-term average (2005-2015) suggests an average of more than 1,100 tornadoes.
Here's the average number of tornadoes during the month of August by state. Florida sees the most with 7, while Minnesota averages 5 tornadoes. During the dog days of Summer, the tornado count typically fades across the nation.
1.)Heavy rain across portions of the eastern portion of the Great Plains, Mississippi Valley, Sun, Aug 19.
2.) Heavy rain across portions of the Northeast, the Central Appalachians, the Middle Mississippi Valley, the Mid-Atlantic, the Upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes, and the Ohio Valley, Mon-Tue, Aug 20-Aug 21.
3.) Heavy rain across coastal portions of the Southeast and the Mid-Atlantic, Sun-Mon, Aug 19-Aug 20, and Wed-Thu, Aug 22-Aug 23.
Flooding occurring or imminent across portions of the Mid-Atlantic, the Lower Mississippi Valley, and the Southern Plains.
4.) Heavy rain across portions of the South Coat of Alaska and Kodiak Island, Sun-Wed, Aug 19-Aug 22.
Slight risk of heavy precipitation for portions of the Central Plains, the Northern Plains, the Great Lakes, the Middle Mississippi Valley, the Upper Mississippi Valley, and the Ohio Valley, Fri-Tue, Aug 24-Aug 28.
5.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation for portions of the Desert Southwest, Fri-Tue, Aug 24-Aug 28.
Severe drought for parts of the middle to lower Mississippi Valley, Great Plains, and western U.S., and the Big Island of Hawaii.
Temperature Anomaly on Friday
The temperature anomaly across North America on Friday showed temperatures well above average across the Western US and across Canada. Meanwhile, the central part of the country was a little cooler than average thanks to showers and thunderstorms.
Here's the temperature anomaly as we head through the 3rd weekend of August. Note that it'll initially be a little warmer than average in the Upper Midwest, but a blob of cooler than average temps will funnel in through early next week. This cool blob will take up residence over much of the Central US through the week ahead, while warmer than average temperatures continue over the Western US.
Weather Outlook Ahead
The weather loop below shows active weather continuing in the Eastern US through the weekend, while more acrive weather returns to the Central US. Keep in mind that strong to severe storms will be possible along with locally heavy rain.
7 Day Precipitation Outlook
According to NOAA's WPC, the 7-day precipitation outlook suggests areas of heavy rain across much of the eastern two-thrids of the nation with heavier pockets of rain possible east of the Mississippi River Valley. Some spots could see several inches of rain with isolated flood concerns, while most folks in the Western US will remain dry.
Here is the national drought map from August 14th, which shows extreme and exceptional drought conditions across much of the Four-Corners region and for a few areas in the Central and Southern Plains. The good news is that several locations in the Central and Southern US have had some fairly good rains over the recent days/week, so some improvement is being seen there. Also, the Monsoon season continues in the Southwest, so some locations should (hopefully) continue to see improvement there.
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's CPC, August 24th - 30th will be warmer than average across much of the nation with the exception of the Northern Rockies and the Central US.
"Carr Fire’s horrendous tornado captured in newly released videos"
"Videos released Wednesday by California fire officials show the massive fire tornado that tore through Redding on July 26 as the Carr Fire entered the city. The tornado was 1,000 feet in diameter at its base — about the size of three football fields — and “surprised many highly experienced firefighters,” according to a report by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Prevention. The tornado damaged large oak trees, lifted large steel power line towers from the ground, ripped off roofs, flipped vehicles and a steel marine shipping container. Its peak temperature likely exceeded 2,700 degrees Fahrenheit, the report said."
"Wildlife, animals suffer in Europe's summer of extreme heat"
""The problem with a heat wave that goes on and on is that a lot of the plants the insects depend on dry up. Humans aren't the only things suffering during this summer's European heat wave. From hedgehogs to birds to insects, the extreme temperatures and lack of rain has taken a toll on animals of all sizes. The faster than usual evaporation of water has forced some animals in the U.K. to leave their natural habitats as they try to quench their thirsts."
"A ‘perfect storm’ of wildfires puts Seattle’s terrible air quality in the record books"
"If this week’s smoky skies seem unprecedented, that’s not far wrong: Thanks to an unusually unfortunate weather pattern, Seattle just recorded its worst 24-hour air quality in almost two decades of recordkeeping. University of Washington atmospheric scientist Cliff Mass called attention to the high levels in a blog post today. “I have been here a long time, and I have never seen anything this bad,” Mass wrote. How bad is it? Mass said particulate readings from the Puget Sound Clean Air Agency’s Duwamish monitoring site have registered the worst 24-hour average air quality since the agency began keeping records in 2000.
"Shocking 106-Year-Old Newspaper Article Predicts Global Warming"
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