More Downpours - Flash Flood Watch Extended into Monday Afternoon
June 1, 2014 — 12:14pm
A Fickle Front. More heavy showers and embedded T-storms are pushing across the MSP metro area, and conditions remain ripe for locally heavy rain into tonight, more "training" storms forming along this very slow-moving frontal boundary. A Flash Flood Warning is posted for south central Minnesota, where 1-3" amounts have been observed just this morning. People living in flood-prone regions should stay alert. Doppler radar image above from noon, Sunday.
Flash Flood Watch. NOAA has extended the Flood Watch for the southern half of Minnesota, including the Twin Cities, thru Monday morning. With saturated soil and more potentially heavy rain in the forecast conditions remain ripe for more flooding of streets, streams and basements.
River Flood Potential. NOAA has outlined the area where significant river flooding is possible, even likely thru the end of the week.
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NOAA's NAM model prints out 2.49" rain between now and late Monday night. Naturally. Major holidays attract storms and this Memorial Day should be no exception. I hope you had a chance to spend some time outside yesterday. The weather was so-so in the metro but gorgeous up north. Today and tomorrow: not so much. That said (while gritting my teeth) we do need the rain.
It's always a good idea to lower your expectations on a holiday, and Memorial Day is no exception. Today won't be all bad - some dim sun through increasing mid and high-level clouds. Showers and T-storms slosh into the state Sunday with the heaviest rain Sunday night into Monday morning. Skies may brighten up a little Monday afternoon, but don't count on it. Personally I'd make the most of today.
Thursday will be tough to top but we may come close today with less wind, a brilliant-blue sky and highs in the 70s. If you can start your holiday celebration today and Saturday you'll be in good shape. The potential for showers and a few embedded T-showers increases Sunday and Monday. Yep, looks like a holiday.
After a couple of cool days temperatures begin to mellow today and Friday, the two best days in sight. Saturday still looks like the best outdoor day of the holiday weekend. A few showers and T-showers may slosh into the state Sunday and Monday - probably not a steady rain, but have a Plan B for the latter half of the weekend - just in case.
It could be worse - it could always be worse, right? It won't snow, and the risk of severe weather is very low. Saturday looks fairly nice but some rain is likely Sunday with a few spotty showers and T-showers spilling over into Memorial Day. Not a continuous wash-out, but not exactly postcard-perfect either. Details in the blog.