Midday Update: Big North-South Variation In Tuesday PM Snowfall
November 4, 2013 — 2:01pm
On Edge. Here is the 12z 4km NAM solution, showing potential snow amounts across central and southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Note the sharp gradient from north to south, maybe 1-2" for the northern suburbs, as much as 3-6" in the central core of the metro, with some 5-8" amounts not out of the question far southern suburbs, closer to 10" from Redwood Falls to Le Center and Northfield with up to a foot from north of Rochester to near Eau Claire. We'll see, but I want to stress a few variables that will keep amounts down slight: ground temperatures are still mild, after a few days of 40s and 50s. So snow will initially melt on contact during the late afternoon hours. Precipitation will start out as rain, and the strongest vertical velocities with this system may slide just south of MSP. Bottom line: probably plowable Tuesday PM (especially south metro), but hardly Snowmageddon! Map: NOAA and Ham Weather.
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I almost drowned trying to take in yesterday's eclipse. As I suspected, Mother Nature was not in a cooperative mood, with a sloppy line of showers and T-showers entering the metro area just as the moon was passing in front of the sun. Oh well, better luck in 2023 or 2024. Skies clear today with a dip in humidity - a rare spell of dry weather into Friday. The weekend? Why showers, of course!
Your eclipse viewing Monday may be hampered by a few clouds across the region, but the chances of rain here in the Twin Cities should mainly hold off until the evening hours. After we get past Monday, however, the rest of the work week looks nice weatherwise! Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Latest weather models are a tad more optimistic about the weather on Monday. The best chance of seeing the (so-called) eclipse will come over central & northern Minnesota. Clouds and showers may overspread southern counties by afternoon. Fingers crossed. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Friday was delightful (what a shock - more rain) but today will be a step in the right direction. Fog and low stratus should burn off, with enough PM sun for highs near 80F. Sunday looks warmer with an isolated thundershower. I'm paranoid about Monday's eclipse - NOAA and ECMWF models continue to bring clouds and showers into the area Monday. If we do see the eclipse it'll be a minor meteorological miracle.
The month is a little more than half over and we've already picked up over 4" of rain in the metro (airport) but some communities have seen closer to 7-10" of rain in August. It looks and feels more like June out there. Shocking weather news: more T-storms may bubble up later today, but the weekend looks pretty good, especially Sunday. Keep expectations low for Monday's eclipse (not sure the weather will fully cooperate here) but skies clear and temperatures and humidity levels come down for the start of the Minnesota State Fair next Thursday. Man, the summer flew by...