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Among the seven Twin Cities counties as a group, growth numbers are trending higher each year, from about 31,500 in 2011 to nearly 34,000 in the most recent 12-month period.
What’s most remarkable, though, is how the share of growth is changing.
As recently as last decade, Ramsey County was declining slightly while Hennepin’s share of metro-area growth was about the same as most of the suburban counties — 17 percent, even though it towers over them in total size.
This decade, thanks in part to strong growth in close-in suburbs such as Bloomington, Hennepin’s share has soared to 45 percent (46,000 additional residents) while Ramsey’s is at 17 percent (18,000).
Thousands of apartments, condos and lofts are going up, while rising numbers of teardowns in some areas are creating bigger, more suburb-sized dwellings for young parents and their kids.
The estimate released Thursday do not break down any further than the county level, so it won’t be known for some time exactly which cities are accounting for the growth. But it’s clear that suburban growth rates have tapered off.
“And that’s very much a national phenomenon,” Brower said. “We do now see a reversal, even decline, in many suburban and exurban areas, with dense inner suburbs gaining. It may have to do with transportation costs or housing preferences.”
“This does appear to be a transitional period for many parts of the state, with differing growth scenarios than we’ve seen for many decades. In many places, the rosy outlook we’re hearing about from the state economist is being mirrored in some respects in population growth.”
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