"Conversation about the weather is the last refuge of the unimaginative," said Oscar Wilde. Hey, I resemble that remark! Weather is the pond in which we live — we can be forgiven for wondering (out loud) what's going on with the elements racing overhead.
Maybe it's a symptom of El Niño — or even a larger planetary warming trend. Whatever the cause, winter is in no great hurry this year. Models show a few lazy cold fronts into mid-November. Canada will stage a few halfhearted sneak attacks, but nothing polar anytime soon, nothing requiring a heavy coat, snow tires or heated seats. Winds aloft, prevailing jet stream winds, howl from Seattle and Vancouver, not the Yukon.
GFS guidance hints at a (real) cold front after Nov. 19 or so. At some point there will be payback. Until then we enjoy more 50s the first half of next week; temperatures drooping into the 40s by late week. A storm may brush southeastern Minnesota with a cold rain on Wednesday and Thursday, but no big storms are pending. This is typical November weather — for Kansas City, Mo. How 'bout those Royals!