The forecast high right now for Friday is 80 in the Twin Cities! If the Twin Cities did hit 80 on Friday, it would be one of the latest last 80s on record as only ten other years have had a later date that the last 80 occurred on. The last average 80 on record (looking over the entire Twin Cities record) occurs on September 29th. Meanwhile, it was quite a warm Halloween in 1950 as that is the date of the latest 80 on record. Last year, the last 80 was on September 18th. The last time we saw a high that was 80 or higher this year was back on September 24th when the high reached 90.
August In October With A High Of 80 Today!
Who’s ready to get a natural sun tan in late October?
After a beautiful week of weather so far, today looks to potentially be the best day of the stretch – if you don’t mind breezy weather, that is. Highs will climb into the upper 70s to around 80 later this afternoon on the back of mainly sunny skies and southerly winds that’ll gust up to 30 mph.
To put today into perspective, it’s not often that we hit 80 this late in the year. Even though the record for the day is 83 set in 1953, if we reached 80 today in the Twin Cities it would be the eleventh latest last 80 degree day on record!
Unfortunately, this nice stretch of weather comes to an end this weekend. A cold front brings showers and storms for Saturday, along with cooler conditions. A second front early next week ushers in highs that will finally be back around average for late October.
Make an effort to get out and enjoy the weather today. There's probably a good chance we won't see weather this nice again until next spring.
Minnesota Weather Outlook
It will be quite a windy day on Friday as well, however, as winds gust over 30 mph across portions of central and southern Minnesota. That will be helping to usher in some of that warmer air, however.
National Weather Outlook
Heavy precipitation will continue across the Northwest as we watch a number of systems move through the region. Rainfall totals could top a half a foot in spots through next Tuesday morning. Heavy rain of at least 2" will also be possible across the Plains into the Southeast from this weekend into early next week.
Rainfall could quickly add up in the Northwest as we head into the weekend. The forecast has Portland, OR, picking up almost five and a half inches of rain through Sunday morning!
As a cold front moves through the central United States this weekend, we will watch for the potential of severe weather. An Enhanced Risk of severe weather is in place from southern Kansas to northern Texas. As storms pop in the evening, large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats, although an isolated tornado can't be ruled out.
As a ridge builds out west this weekend into early next week, heat will build across portions of the Southwest. By Monday, places like Los Angeles, San Diego and Tucson could see temperatures approaching - if not breaking - records.
Record heat will continue into Tuesday as well, with areas like Los Angeles, Phoenix and Tucson potentially breaking records.
NOAA Winter Weather Outlook
NOAA released their winter weather outlook Thursday morning, and the forecast calls for wetter and cooler than average conditions across the northern United States, but warmer and wetter conditions for southern states. More from NOAA: "Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released the U.S. Winter Outlook today, with La Nina potentially emerging for the second year in a row as the biggest wildcard in how this year’s winter will shape up. La Nina has a 55- to 65-percent chance of developing before winter sets in."
Heat In Bangladesh
Scientists believe they can predict a heat wave in Bangladesh as soon as several weeks in advance and want to set up a warning system for the country - however, a heat wave definition has to be made first. More from the IRI: "Hannah Nissan, a postdoctoral research fellow at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, is trying to fill in this information gap. Nissan is the lead author on a new paper that proposes a heat wave definition Bangladesh – a first step towards the creation of a heat warning system in a country that currently doesn’t have heat wave forecasts. Before defining a heat wave, however, Nissan and her colleague Katrin Burkart at Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health first examined the health impacts of heat in Bangladesh. They found that heat waves do indeed lead to more deaths in the country. They estimated that during an eight-day heat wave in 2008, for example, at least 3,800 people died from the excess heat. Two-thirds of those killed were 65 or older, indicating that the elderly are especially vulnerable to heat waves." (Image: Dhaka, Bangladesh. Flickr: mariusz kluzniak.)
World Hunger On The Rise
A recent U.N. report says that world hunger is on the rise again, and climate change has a hand in it. More from The Conversation: "Around the globe, about 815 million people – 11 percent of the world’s population – went hungry in 2016, according to the latest data from the United Nations. This was the first increase in more than 15 years. Between 1990 and 2015, due largely to a set of sweeping initiatives by the global community, the proportion of undernourished people in the world was cut in half. In 2015, U.N. member countries adopted the Sustainable Development Goals, which doubled down on this success by setting out to end hunger entirely by 2030. But a recent U.N. report shows that, after years of decline, hunger is on the rise again."
Solar Power, A California Town... And A Republican
The city of Landcaster, CA, produces more solar power per capita versus any other city in the state. Oh, and did we mention this was at the backing of a Republican mayor? More from ThinkProgress: "Some cities were hit hard by the Great Recession. Lancaster, California was positively clobbered. In the summer of 2009, the unemployment rate reached 17 percent, housing prices bottomed out, and foreclosures were rampant. Since then, the city has turned things around, thanks in part to the efforts of three-time Republican mayor Rex Parris, who transformed Lancaster into a clean energy powerhouse. Parris has been described by critics as “an arrogant bully and an unstoppable control freak,” according to the Los Angeles Times, but he gets results." (Photo: THE ALPINE SOLAR GENERATING FACILITY IN LANCASTER, CALIFORNIA. CREDIT: BUSINESS WIRE)
Wildfires, Hurricanes... The Climate Connection
The Los Angeles Times takes a look at all the recent extreme events across the country and how they could be connected to climate change: "California is contending with some of the deadliest fires in state history as wildfires burn across the western United States. Meanwhile, four hurricanes — Harvey, Irma, Maria and Nate — have made landfall in the U.S. this year, the first time in more than a decade that so many have done so. Extreme events have been hitting the the country from all sides. To what extent does climate change influence them?" (Image: A scene of widespread devastation caused by wildfires in Sonoma County. Climate change makes fires more likely, for a variety of reasons. (Genaro Molina / Los Angeles Times))
Forest CO2 Emissions
Where did the surge in CO2 during the last El Nino come from? InsideClimateNews has the answer: "During the last El Niño, global average temperatures spiked to more than 1 degree Celsius above pre-industrial levels for the first time on record, and carbon dioxide levels increased at a record pace. Now, scientists working with data from a carbon-tracking satellite have figured out where most of that CO2 surge came from. The source was three massive tropical forest regions, in different parts of the world, that each responded to the rising temperatures in a very different way" (Image: The Amazon and the tropical forests of Africa and Indonesia each responded to 2015's high temperatures in a way that played a role in rising carbon dioxide emissions. Credit: Neil Palmer/CIAT)