The Calm Before the Storm...
 
Thanks to Aaron Weidner for the picture below who snapped this on Saturday evening before Sunday's impending snow storm.
 
 
Winter Storm Warning 3PM Sunday - 6AM Monday (Includes the Twin Cities)
 
WHAT: Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches expected.
 
WHERE: Portions of central, east central and south central Minnesota.
 
WHEN: From 3 PM Sunday to 6 AM CST Monday.
 
ADDITIONAL DETAILS: Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. 
 

HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
 
A potent clipper system is still on track to shift southeast from the Dakotas into Iowa then to Michigan Sunday through Monday. This system will bring accumulating snow to all of central and southern Minnesota into western Wisconsin Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. The greatest snow accumulations look to occur from west central Minnesota through the Twin Cities metro to around the Eau Claire area, with lesser amounts towards northern Minnesota, southwestern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin.
 
Therefore, Winter Storm Warnings have been issued for all of central and southern Minnesota through western Wisconsin, with the exception of a small portion of southwestern Minnesota south of the Minnesota River. In these areas, a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued.
 
Snowfall amounts in the warning area can be expected to range from 6 to 9 inches. Snowfall amounts in the advisory area can be expected to range from 3 to 6 inches.
 
This system is expected to cause significant travel impacts, especially Sunday night through the Monday morning commute. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts and statements.
 
 
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Heavy Snow Followed By Extreme Cold

Some of the coldest in several years will arrive in the Twin Cities this week!

"Extremely cold conditions are expected from early Tuesday through Thursday of next week. Plan for wind chills from -30F to -50F. Wind chills of these values can cause frostbite to exposed skin in a matter of minutes."

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HIP HIP HOORAY!!!

By the way, if you didn't know, our friends at the National Weather Service (across the country) haven't been paid in more than a month until recent news... A big THANK YOU should go to them after the lengthy ordeal. So, THANK YOU !!!
 
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Temperature Outlook Sunday
 
High temps on Sunday will still be quite a bit cold across the region with temperatures running nearly -10F to -25F below average. This cold air will help to keep the snow quality very fluffy across the region, which mean that it will add up very quickly and be very slippery once it starts falling!
 
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Timing the Snow

I've always wanted to know where the punch comes from, so here it is. This is what our next clipper looks like that will drop plowable snow across the region. It's actually a very potent Canadian Clipper that will bring some of the heaviest snow, we've seen in quite some time to the Twin Cities Metro! The hit will arrive early Sunday afternooon and last through midday Monday.

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Ice Safety Reminder
 
Recent mild December weather has made for fairly unsafe ice condtions across parts of the state. The MN DNR has some basic guidelines on how thick the ice should be before you even think about stepping out onto the ice! Also remember that ice is NEVER 100% SAFE!
 

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Heavy Snow - Bitter Cold - Serious Whiplash
By Paul Douglas
 
Here in the Land of 10,000 Weather Complaints I thought I'd seen everything. Nope. The next 6 days will be an atmospheric final exam. Tell yourself you're miserable? You will be. A fatalistic shrug, framing this pending polar plunge as an 'adventure' may preserve your psychic well-being.
 
But first, a super-sized clipper. One thing I've learned tracking weather for 40 years: colder storms are far more dangerous than snow falling closer 32F. I expect 4 to 8 inches of snow by Monday. In spite of herculean efforts, MnDOT crews will not be able to keep freeways ice-free when it's this cold.
 
This week may bring the coldest readings since 2004, when the mercury fell to -24F at MSP. Believe it or not, it doesn't look quite as forbidding as it did a few days ago: 4 subzero nights and 2-3 subzero days in the metro. Midweek 'highs' hover around -10F, with a wind chill of -30 to -40F. Some schools may consider closing, out of safety concerns.
 
Pacific air blasts into town next weekend with a shot at 40F. A 50-degree spike in 4 days? Amazing.
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Extended Forecast

SUNDAY: PM Snow 4-8". Winds: SE 10-20. High: 6.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Snowy. Winds: NNE 10-15. Low: 2.

MONDAY: Slow AM commute. Snow tapers. Winds: NW 10-15. High: 10.

TUESDAY: Sunny peaks, an Arctic breeze. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: -13. High: -8.

WEDNESDAY: Coldest Day. Feels like -40F at times. Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: -22. High: -20.

THURSDAY: Yukon delight! Less wind, still numb. Winds: S 5-10. Wake-up: -24. High: -2.

FRIDAY: Peeks of sun. Not as harsh." Winds: E 7-12. Wake-up: -2. High: 16.

SATURDAY: Windy with flurries or little ice. Winds:SE 10-20. Wake-up: 12. High: 36.
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This Day in Weather History
January 27th

2006: A record high temperature of 50 degrees is set at the Eau Claire Regional Airport.
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Average High/Low for Minneapolis
January 27th

Average High: 24F (Record: 47F set in 1934)
Average Low: 8F (Record: -23F set in 1950)

Record Rainfall: 0.49" set in 2013
Record Snowfall: 3.8" set in 1916
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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
January 27th

Sunrise: 7:38am
Sunset: 5:14pm

Hours of Daylight: ~9 hours & 35minutes

Daylight GAINED since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 22 seconds
Daylight GAINED since winter solstice (December 21st): ~ 49 minutes
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Moon Phase for January 27th at Midnight
0.4 Afrer Last Quarter Moon


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What's in the Night Sky?

According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights: 

"Tonight – or any winter evening – look for the constellation Orion the Hunter. It’s probably the easiest to pick out of all the constellations in the Northern Hemisphere winter sky (Southern Hemisphere summer sky). It’s identifiable by Orion’s Belt, three medium-bright stars in a short, straight row at the mid-section of the Hunter. See these stars? They are easy to spot on the sky’s dome. As seen from mid-northern latitudes, you’ll find Orion in the southeast at early evening and shining high in the south by mid-evening (around 9 p.m. local time). If you live at temperate latitudes to the south of the equator, you’ll see Orion high in your northern sky at this hour. Pick out Orion’s Belt and the nearby bright stars in that part of the sky, and you’ve probably found Orion. Donate: Your support means the world to us There’s plenty to see in Orion, too, and it’s easy to find. Stars in distinct constellations like Orion look connected, perhaps even gravitationally bound, but usually they aren’t. Certainly Orion’s stars aren’t bound to each other by anything but their general location near one another along a single line of sight from Earth. The stars of Orion just happen to make an easy visual pattern on our sky’s dome. Meanwhile, the stars in Orion and most other constellations are located at vastly different distances from each other. For example, notice the two brightest stars in Orion, Betelgeuse and Rigel. Betelgeuse is estimated to be located 522 light-years away, while Rigel’s distance is 773 light-years."

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National High Temps - Sunday, Janaury 27th
 
High temps across the country on Sunday will still be warmer than average across the western half of the country, but colder than average temps are now starting to show up in the Upper Midwest.
 
 
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Weather Outlook
 
Here's our next clipper that will drop several inches of snow across the Upper Midwest Sunday night into Monday. It will also be followed by some of the coldest air in several years across the region as well. Get ready.
 

7 Day Precipitation Potential

According to NOAA's WPC, the 7 day precipitation potential suggess areas of heavy precipitation across the Florida Panhandle.

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"Extreme Weather Events Could Worsen Climate Change"
 
"Weather fluctuations change how much excess carbon soil can absorb from the atmosphere. Droughts, heat waves and other extreme climate-related events are growing concerns in a warming world. Studies have found climate change is already fueling an increase in some extreme events and that they’re likely to worsen as temperatures continue to climb. Now, new research suggests the reverse may also be true—these events, themselves, could also worsen climate change. Weather and climate events tend to affect the amount of moisture contained in the soil, according to the study published yesterday in the journal Nature. Unusually hot or dry periods, for instance, will temporarily lead to drier earth. And these fluctuations in soil moisture can have a huge impact on the amount of carbon the Earth is able to absorb, the study found."
 
 

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"Last Year Was a Hot One—and 2019 Will Be Hotter"
 
"Earth capped its fourth-warmest year in human history in 2018, and this year will almost certainly be hotter according to a newly-released analysis. The analysis comes from Berkeley Earth, an independent group of scientists, and specifically shows the world was 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit (0.77 degrees Celsius) warmer than the 1951-80 average. NASA uses the same baseline. The analysis doesn’t include December data thanks to Trump’s shutdown, which continues to wreak havoc on science. But 2018 is so much warmer than fifth-place 2010 that the rankings are unlikely to change. Berkeley Earth’s ranking also lines up with predictions put together by NASA climate scientist Gavin Schmidt back in October. The top four warmest years have all occurred in the last four years. Basically, climate change has made these types of freakishly warm years our life now, and it’s only a question of how much other natural climate patterns will determine where the records fall."
 
 

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"High heat but no record: 2018 was 4th warmest year on Earth"
 
"While Earth was a tad cooler last year than the last couple of years, it still was the fourth warmest on record, a new analysis shows. With the partial U.S. government shutdown, federal agency calculations for last year's temperatures are delayed. But independent scientists at Berkeley Earth calculate that last year's average temperature was 58.93 degrees. That's 1.39 degrees warmer than the average from 1951 to 1980 and about 2.09 degrees warmer than pre-industrial times. It's likely other temperature measuring groups will agree on 2018's ranking since they had it at fourth hottest through November, said Berkeley Earth climate scientist Zeke Hausfather. The Japanese Meteorological Agency has already calculated it at fourth. Record-keeping started in 1850. Only 2016, 2017 and 2015 were warmer than last year, with only small differences among them. That was mostly because of natural yearly weather variations like El Nino and La Nina, Hausfather said. He said it would be foolish to call last year's slight dip a cooling trend."

See more from Chicago Tribune HERE:


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Paul Douglas: On track for plowable snow Sunday; coldest in years next week

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8-12" Of Snow Expected Through Monday - Coldest Air Since 1996 Possible Wednesday