Heavy Rain Potential - Strongest Storms To Pass Just South of MSP
June 16, 2014 — 4:51pm
Severe Storms Far Southern Minnesota. Warnings are posted for Fairmont and Saint James - winds clocked as high as 85 mph with some of these storms. It still looks like the greatest wind damage risk (straight-line and tornadic) is along the I-90 corridor into the evening hours. I expect strong T-storms in the MSP metro, where the main threat will be heavy rain, small hail and possibly gusts to 50 mph. NWS Doppler at 4:49 PM.
Close Call. NOAA's HRRR model shows the most severe storms passing just south of the Twin Cities this evening, possibly brushing the southern suburbs with high winds and hail. Another 1-2" of rain is possible, especially from Shakopee and Lakeville to Cottage Grove and Red Wing. Some flash flooding is likely, especially south of the metro area early tonight.
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What a Thanksgiving Day: blue sky, pleasant temperatures, light winds, turkey...another Vikings win...more turkey...more football. Nap. About as good as it gets. Ever. We should see 50s today before an afternoon rain shower. A cooler Saturday gives way to another shot at 50F Sunday, again Monday before cooling off again next week. Nothing Nanook brewing just yet...
It's pretty quiet out there, all things considered. We could easily be knee-deep in snow and ice by now, so 40s and 50s? Personally, I can live with that. Winds ease up today with flurries, maybe a coating up north by afternoon. Temperatures moderate Thanksgiving into Friday; relative warmth spilling into early next week. A strong west flow should insulate us from the coldest winds of winter through the first week of December. After that all bets are off.
November got off to a numbing start, and it looks like we'll finish the month with a slight mild bias; more 40s, even a couple more 50s possible before we skate into December. The weather looks miraculously quiet this week - 40s return by Thanksgiving with a shot at 50F on Friday. Considering snow could be thigh-high by now I'm not about to complain.
Highs will climb into the 50s under sunny skies Monday across southern Minnesota, while a few snow showers will be possible by the evening in northern Minnesota. There aren't too many weather concerns this week locally though for any Turkey Day travels. More in the blog! - D.J. Kayser