Heavy Rain Potential - Strongest Storms To Pass Just South of MSP
June 16, 2014 — 4:51pm
Severe Storms Far Southern Minnesota. Warnings are posted for Fairmont and Saint James - winds clocked as high as 85 mph with some of these storms. It still looks like the greatest wind damage risk (straight-line and tornadic) is along the I-90 corridor into the evening hours. I expect strong T-storms in the MSP metro, where the main threat will be heavy rain, small hail and possibly gusts to 50 mph. NWS Doppler at 4:49 PM.
Close Call. NOAA's HRRR model shows the most severe storms passing just south of the Twin Cities this evening, possibly brushing the southern suburbs with high winds and hail. Another 1-2" of rain is possible, especially from Shakopee and Lakeville to Cottage Grove and Red Wing. Some flash flooding is likely, especially south of the metro area early tonight.
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I predict precious few complaints about the weather today with pleasant temperatures and low humidity; summer heat in retreat for now. A few more waves of heat return next week - although probably not as torrid as last week. Most of us probably won't see rain until Monday. Mosquitoes? No promises there...
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Another free lawn-watering today (showers and T-storms, probably not severe) gives way to a clearing trend and a drop in humidity Thursday. The upcoming weekend looks lake-friendly, warm, but not obnoxiously so. Next week may see a few more 90s with a couple days of dew points in the oh-zone.
Monday was a fine summer day; a touch of heat and humidity, but not as swamp-like as late last week. We may brush 90F today before cooling off later this week - a good chance of heavy showers and T-storms Wednesday and Thursday. Long-range models hint at another hot front as early as next week.