Heavy Rain Potential - Strongest Storms To Pass Just South of MSP
June 16, 2014 — 4:51pm
Severe Storms Far Southern Minnesota. Warnings are posted for Fairmont and Saint James - winds clocked as high as 85 mph with some of these storms. It still looks like the greatest wind damage risk (straight-line and tornadic) is along the I-90 corridor into the evening hours. I expect strong T-storms in the MSP metro, where the main threat will be heavy rain, small hail and possibly gusts to 50 mph. NWS Doppler at 4:49 PM.
Close Call. NOAA's HRRR model shows the most severe storms passing just south of the Twin Cities this evening, possibly brushing the southern suburbs with high winds and hail. Another 1-2" of rain is possible, especially from Shakopee and Lakeville to Cottage Grove and Red Wing. Some flash flooding is likely, especially south of the metro area early tonight.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Well, at least it was better than Saturday. After a foggy (thundery) start the sun came out and temperatures reached the mid-80s. Up north severe storms erupted, even a few large and violent (PDS) tornadoes in Polk County. Yes, a bit odd for late August. Expect sticky sun today with another round of irritable storms later in the day. We cool off and dry out by midweek - more storms may be brewing next weekend, but not as formidable as what residents of Florida and the Carolinas are tracking.
I'm happy to report that today will be even nicer than yesterday! That's a pretty low bar, granted, but we should top 80F today with some sunshine, higher humidity and a few stray T-storms. 80s will be the rule this week, with warmer than average weather spilling into Labor Day weekend. The risk of a Gulf Coast hurricane seems to be increasing again - water temperatures in the Gulf are very warm, which may fuel a big storm within a few days.
Thursday was a breath of fresh air and today will be another fine day with blue sky, light winds and no rain (amazing). Showers and T-storms return late tonight into Saturday as the atmosphere tries to warm up again - Sunday should be sunnier, warmer and drier. Summer comes rushing back next week with more 80s, even a few 90s possible by the end of next week. Hermine impacting Florida and the Gulf Coast? Still a definite maybe, but the storm is a sloppy mess; it's unclear if and when conditions will be ripe for strengthening.
So long heat index, at least for a few days. Agreeable air, courtesy of Canada, will be with us for the next few days. Clouds build up this afternoon; Friday should be sunnier with less wind and temperatures more typical of late September. After a close encounter with Saturday showers temperatures mellow Sunday and summer heat returns next week. No, we haven't seen the last 90-degree warmth.
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