Growing Flood Potential: Brainerd Lakes Area (severe risk later, statewide)
August 6, 2011 — 11:25am
Doppler Radar Estimates. NWS Doppler (from MPX/Twin Cities) shows some 3-4" rainfall estimates from near Clarissa to Baxter, as thunderstorms continue to track from west to east along a nearly stationary warm frontal boundary. The NWS has issued a Flood Advisory, here are the details:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH MN HAS ISSUED AN * URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... WEST CENTRAL AITKIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... CROW WING COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BRAINERD... SOUTHERN CASS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... * UNTIL 145 PM CDT * AT 945 AM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION...AND LOCAL SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED STANDING WATER ON AREA ROADS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BRAINERD LAKES REGION THROUGH MIDDAY...WHICH COULD RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING OF ROADSIDE DITCHES AND STREAMS...ALONG WITH STANDING WATER ON ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
Nagging Storms. NWS Doppler radar at 11:20 am shows strong storms from just north of Alexandria to Little Falls, the Brainerd area, east to Aitkin, just grazing the far northern suburbs of the Twin Cities. The chance of storms in the metro will increase by mid/late afternoon as a cool front approaches - a few of the storms may turn severe. Most of central/southern MN is in a "slight risk" of severe storms, according to SPC.
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Thursday was a step in the right direction and today and much of Saturday will be fairly nice with 70s and sunshine much of the time. A shower or T-shower is possible late Saturday, likely Sunday and Memorial Day. No all-day washouts, but have a Plan B, especially for Monday. Pretty typical for a holiday, all things considered.
Hurry up summer. We're still paying for that flash of 60s back in February, it seems. Temperatures will warm up in the coming days; not quite warm enough for a dip in the lake (unless you're exceptionally brave) but the weather should cooperate over the weekend, at least most of the time. There will be showery exceptions, and Monday won't win any awards. And yes, it can always be worse.
Hey, for what it's worth I'm just as disgusted/frustrated as everyone else. I'm looking forward to an extended streak of 80s and sunshine. It's coming. I think. Not this weekend, mind you. We'll have to be content with 70s Friday and Saturday with a ration of sunshine both days. Sunday may be showery but some clearing is likely Memorial Day with highs holding in the 60s. Not exactly lake-worthy, but we've seen worse.
Monday was salve for the soul - yes, we all needed that. Today will be partly-bleak with showery rains and temperatures stuck in the 50s, but don't despair. We warm up later in the week with a few days in the 70s. Not exactly strip-down-to-your-swimsuit weather, but mild enough for most outdoor plans, especially Friday and Saturday. A real warm front (80s) may show up within a couple of weeks. Summer can arrive anytime now...
Well that sure was fun. Fun as a 5-alarm fire, a salad of poison ivy - maybe a tick in your ice-cream sundae? Sorry for those visuals, but the people I bumped into this weekend were NOT AMUSED. But here's the thing. The weather just is. The sky above your head was set in motion by forces beyond our control - beyond our comprehension. We just get in the way...