Weather Outlook AM Wednesday to PM Thursday
The storm system that brought strong winds and areas of heavy rain to the Upper Midwest over the last few days will finally loosen its grip on the region. There may still be a few spotty showers, mixed with a few wet snow flakes, but it won't be heavy. A bubble of high pressure will settle in later this week, which will help clear skies and allow for sunnier skies by Friday.
Twin Cities 7 Day
According to the MN DNR, peak color typically arrives across the far northern part of the state in mid/late September, while folks in the Twin Cities see peak color around mid October. It's hard to believe, but the fall color is almost gone.
How Does Weather Effect the Leaves?
Did you know that weather has a big impact on the fall color? Weather conditions that are either too wet or too dry can lead to premature displays or even dull, muted color displays. The best weather would be a warm, wet summer that gives way to sunny, cool fall days. Read more below:
Minnesota Crop Progress & Condition - October 21st
Looking back at the last 30 years of data at the MSP Airport, the average first frost (32F or colder) is October 12th. The Twin Cities got close on the 12th, but only dropped to 33F. The earliest frost was on September 20th back in 1991, but the latest was November 18th in 2016. Last year, our first frost was on October 11th.
Points of Tropical Origin: October 21st - 31st
According to NOAA's CPC, the temperature outlook by the end of the month and into the first week of November looks pretty chilly across much of the Central US, including the Upper Midwest. Halloween could be a bit chilly this year! Stay tuned.
Here's the temperature outlook for the MSP Airport through the end of October and into early November. Temperatures will feel more like November through the rest of the week with highs only warming into the 40s. However, it appears that we will warm up a bit as we approach the weekend with highs back into the 50s and perhaps near 60F! Enjoy that 'milder' weather because we're getting indications of another cold front that will drop temps to below average levels by Halloween.
Warmest October Temps on Record at MSP
Here are the warmest temps on record at MSP for the month of October, which shows only (2) 90F days on record. The most recent warmest day was 88 degrees back in 2011.
From Heavy Rain to Heavy Snow Next Week?
By Paul Douglas
"Imagine putting a soaking wet sponge in the freezer, taking it out, then trying to pour water on it. The water is going to immediately run off. This accurately describes our soils heading into winter and what we can expect in the spring" said South Dakota State Climatologist Laura Edwards. NOAA is already concerned about record rains in 2019 setting the stage for severe river flooding next spring. Much of the state is experiencing the wettest year since records were started in the 1800s. Another spring of flooding and late planting would prove disastrous for agriculture.
Great news. My lawn chairs have been found - in Winona. Winds ease today with some sunshine; 50s likely Friday and Saturday as the atmosphere impersonates October.
Next week may feel like late November. Models print out (very) significant wet snow Tuesday into Wednesday, followed by 20s and 30s for Halloween. Here we go.
To quote the local National Weather Service: "Don't worry everyone. It will stop raining when it starts snowing."
WEDNESDAY: More clouds than sun. Winds: NW 7-12. High: 46.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with patchy frost by morning. Winds: NW 5. Low: 31.
THURSDAY: More sunshine. Still brisk for October. Winds: NW 5-10. High: 45.
FRIDAY: Frosty start. Sunny and breezy. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 29. High: 52.
SATURDAY: Dim sun through high clouds. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 38. High: 57.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, cooler breeze. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 39. High: 47.
MONDAY: Peeks of sun, probably dry. Winds: W 10-15. Low: 30. High: 41.
TUESDAY: Cold mix or wet snow arrives. Winds: NE 7-12. Low: 32. High: 36.
This Day in Weather History
1899: An unseasonably warm day occurs in the Twin Cities, with a high of 82.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 55F (Record: 82F set in 1899)
Average Low: 37F (Record: 17F set in 1936)
Record Rainfall: 1.01" set in 1995
Record Snowfall: 1.4" set in 1938
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 36 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 56 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): ~ 5 hours & 01 minutes
Moon Phase for October 23rd at Midnight
2.8 Days After Last Quarter Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
"Before dawn on October 23 and 24, 2019, watch as the moon slides in front of the constellation Leo the Lion. Then, as the morning darkness begins to give way to dawn, watch for the planet Mars to climb above the sunrise point on the horizon. Leo’s starlit figurine will be found in the eastern (sunrise) direction, in the predawn sky, at which time Mars will still be beneath the eastern horizon. Mars will only come into view as dawn’s light begins to increase. See the chart at the bottom of this post. Leo is identifiable for the prominent backwards question mark pattern within it; this pattern is a well-known asterism, called The Sickle. Although the chart at top is especially designed for North America, you’ll see the moon in the vicinity of Regulus from around the world. Before dawn on these same dates in the world’s Eastern Hemisphere, you’ll see the moon offset farther westward (upward) relative to the backdrop stars of the zodiac than we do in North America. For your specific view, at your location on the globe, try Stellarium."
2019 Preliminary Tornado Count
"Some of the Best Shooting Stars of 2019 Are Coming — Here’s How to See Them"
"Thanks to Halley's Comet, it’s the annual peak of the Orionid meteor shower, one of the best times to see shooting stars in 2019. Space dust left in the solar system by Halley's Comet will slam into Earth’s atmosphere in the early hours of Tuesday morning as October’s second meteor shower peaks. What is the Orionid meteor shower? Happening from October 2 through November 7, but peaking late Monday, October 21 in the early hours of Tuesday, October 22, the Orionid meteor shower is an annual event that brings between 20 and 40 visible shooting stars every hour."
"What do we really need the Moon for?"
"The Moon is such a familiar presence in the sky that most of us take it for granted. But what if it wasn't where it is now? How would that affect life on Earth? Space scientist Dr Maggie Aderin-Pocock, an expert on the Moon, explores our intimate relationship with our planet’s rocky satellite. Besides orchestrating the tides, the Moon dictates the length of a day, the rhythm of the seasons and the very stability of Earth. Yet the Moon doesn’t stay still. In the past it was closer to the Earth and in the future it will be further away. It’s lucky that it is now perfectly placed to help sustain life. Using computer graphics to summon up great tides and set the Earth spinning on its side, Aderin-Pocock implores us to look at the Moon afresh: to see it not as an inert rock, but as a key player in the story of our planet’s past, present and future."
"The Potential of Green Urban Planning for Mental Health"
"There is no single solution to the world-wide epidemic of poor mental health; addressing its root causes—like poverty-triggered stress and social isolation—and choosing effective treatment for sufferers remains paramount. One way to potentially partly buffer against the effects of poor mental health is through contact with nature, including the green spaces within metropolises. This is an emerging area of research with plenty of unanswered questions attached, but there is a not-insignificant number of studies pointing to this being a measurable, important effect. “Green space is an agent of public health, one that can build and sustain mental wellbeing,” Jenny Roe, an environmental psychologist at the University of Virginia, told Earther. That’s why she’s part of a team that wants to not just quantify the effect that natural spaces have on mental health, but to also frame it in a way that forms part of designs for cities."
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