Flood Watch into Monday - HRRR Hints at Late Evening T-Storm Threat
June 1, 2014 — 1:15pm
Short-Term Flood Risk: Far Southern Minnesota. NWS Doppler radar at 1:08 PM shows strong storms around I-90, from near Albert Lea to Rochester and La Crosse. The initial outflow boundary from last night's flooding storms has pushed south and east of MSP, but conditions are ripe for more storms by evening.
* Flash Flood Watch extended into Monday afternoon for most of Minnesota. Details from NOAA.
Some PM Sunshine - Setting Stage for Another Outbreak? High-resolution 1 km visible imagery (1 PM) shows clearing over parts of central and western Minnesota. If the sun does come out and stay out for a few hours the atmosphere will become very unstable (again), which may fuel another surge of strong storms this evening and tonight.
HRRR Forecast for 9 PM. NOAA's 3 km. HRRR model shows a possible MCS (meso-convective system) capable of more heavy rain and frequent lightning approaching MSP by late evening. Conditions remain ripe for thunderstorms capable of additional flooding into at least the morning hours Monday, followed by some drying Monday afternoon into Tuesday.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Under a postcard sky we should enjoy 3 or 4 days above 70F between now and Saturday, when a stiff southerly wind may fuel a few showers and T-showers. A couple of Canadian fronts cool us off next week - nothing controversial or awe-inspiring is brewing just yet. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Fumble for sunglasses - 5 sunny days in a row, as temperatures mellow into the 60s, with 70s possible Wednesday into Saturday. A thundershower is possible Saturday as cooler air approaches, but no flakes will fly anytime soon. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Sunday morning's atmosphere is almost cold enough for a few wet snowflakes, but skies should clear behind a colder front. A dry week is on tap for Minnesota as temperatures mellow into the 60s; 70s expected the latter half of the week. Good timing with MEA Weekend and a 4-day weekend. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
No awards for beauty or splendor this weekend, but again, remind me not to complain. Over 1" of rain may fall before skies dry out behind a cool front tomorrow. Jackets give way to shirtsleeves and shorts late next week as daytime highs top 70 degrees. Not bad for late October. Meanwhile we've transitioned from horrific hurricanes to a surreal series of blazes across northern California. Details in the blog.
Thursday mellowed into a fine fall day with temperatures a few degrees above average. We hang onto a dry Friday, but have a Plan B for much of Saturday as the next wave of showers sweep in from the south. Sunday looks drier and brighter (and chillier) but temperatures recover next week, in fact next week will look and feel more like mid-September than the 3rd week of October.