Stalled Front. Heavy showers and T-storms forming along a temporarily stalled frontal boundary will mean the best chance of locally heavy rain and flash flooding over central Minnesota today, from near Montevideo and St. Cloud to Brainerd and the far northern suburbs of the Twin Cities. Here's the latest on a Flash Flood Warning posted west of St. Cloud:
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MORRISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
WESTERN STEARNS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
* AT 730 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE THE RAIN LIGHTENS
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ALBANY AND FREEPORT.
THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...
SOUTH TWO RIVER...HAY CREEK...STONY CREEK...NORTH FORK CROW
RIVER...LITTLE ROCK CREEK...TWO RIVER...GETCHELL CREEK...SPUNK
CREEK...NORTH TWO RIVER...BEAUTIFUL CREEK...SKUNK RIVER...PLATTE
RIVER...KRAIN CREEK...LITTLE TWO RIVER...ELMDALE CREEK...TAYLOR
CREEK AND SWAN RIVER.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.
Morning Satellite Loop. 1 km vis imagery shows T-storms flaring up north/west of the frontal boundary draped from southwest into central and northeastern Minnesota. Some morning and midday sun is likely from the Twin Cities on south and east into Wisconsin, but T-storms may push east into MSP by afternoon.
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I'm happy to report that today will be even nicer than yesterday! That's a pretty low bar, granted, but we should top 80F today with some sunshine, higher humidity and a few stray T-storms. 80s will be the rule this week, with warmer than average weather spilling into Labor Day weekend. The risk of a Gulf Coast hurricane seems to be increasing again - water temperatures in the Gulf are very warm, which may fuel a big storm within a few days.
Thursday was a breath of fresh air and today will be another fine day with blue sky, light winds and no rain (amazing). Showers and T-storms return late tonight into Saturday as the atmosphere tries to warm up again - Sunday should be sunnier, warmer and drier. Summer comes rushing back next week with more 80s, even a few 90s possible by the end of next week. Hermine impacting Florida and the Gulf Coast? Still a definite maybe, but the storm is a sloppy mess; it's unclear if and when conditions will be ripe for strengthening.
So long heat index, at least for a few days. Agreeable air, courtesy of Canada, will be with us for the next few days. Clouds build up this afternoon; Friday should be sunnier with less wind and temperatures more typical of late September. After a close encounter with Saturday showers temperatures mellow Sunday and summer heat returns next week. No, we haven't seen the last 90-degree warmth.
Hard to believe it rained again last night with another fine display of thunder and lightning. At least we were spared severe storms this time around. Winds shifting to the west/northwest dry us out today with cooling temperatures into Friday (the nicest day in sight). You may need a Plan B for Saturday; with any luck we salvage a better day on Sunday. No storms with names - which is more than residents of Florida and the Gulf Coast can say. All eyes are on "Invest 99-L", which may ripen into "Hermine" in the days to come.
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