First Winter Storm Watch (greatest risk south/east of MSP)
November 7, 2011 — 4:26pm
Winter Storm Watch. The NWS has issued a watch (which means a potential for 6" or more of snow over a 24 hour period) for southeastern Minnesoeta and much of western and northern Wisconsin. The latest watches and warnings are here.
Potentially "Plowable". Oh boy - not sure I'm ready for this. Note the sharp western cut-off to any significant snow accumulation Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. But as much as 6-8" of snow is predicted from Rochester to Menomonie, Wisconsin and Eau Claire. If you're traveling south/east of MSP Tuesday night into Wednesday morning stay up on the latest forecast - make sure you're ready for winter travel conditions.
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Mark my words: many of us will soon look back fondly on this spell of relatively cool, crisp, comfortable weather. Long-range models are still printing out sustained heat for much of July; more lake-worthy temperatures are less than a week away, and I suspect another run of 90s by mid-July. In the meantime take something waterproof today because showers and T-storms are likely, some heavy, but the best chance of severe weather passes just south and east of the MSP metro.
Soaking rains arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some lawns and gardens could get a healthy drink as models are suggesting nearly 1 inch of rain in a few spots. A few sputtery rain showers will be possible on Friday and Saturday, but it won't be a washout. Hot and sweaty weather looks to return by July 4th.
Yes, I know. It's too cool for the lake. I feel your pain - there were whitecaps on my lake too, and only the brave and foolish were in the water. This cool spell isn't sustainable. The sun is too high in the sky - there is too much overheated air over the southern USA. At some point it will warm up. Probably overnight. Like turning on a light switch. Might I recommend that you embrace the comfortable readings, because within 1-2 weeks young and old alike will be muttering about the heat and humidity. Wait for it.
Saturday was interesting, more early October than late June. Instability showers and T-storms dropped small hail, sparking wind gusts over 40 mph. Today should be a notch better with more sun and fewer showers popping by afternoon. Temperatures mellow a bit this week, but I don't see 80s until the latter half of next week. A lot of people are whining about the lack of lake-worthy heat, but I don't mind the free A/C one bit.
Just think of all the cold cash you're going to save on cold pop, ice cream and A/C this weekend! I know - not funny. Minnesotans get indignant when their summer weekends don't match what they were daydreaming about a few months ago. The weather won't be lake-worthy, but at least we're not suffering through a dangerous heatwave, like much of the southwestern USA and southern Plains. Be careful what you wish for...