Final Metro Snow Totals Closer to 5-10" (No Travel Advised Tonight)
February 2, 2016 — 7:45pm
Heavy Snow Axis Stalls over MSP Metro. It's snowing a little harder (for longer) and that may result in snowfall totals closer to 8", even 10" by the time the deformation zone swings east of the the Twin Cities after 10 PM or so. Snow totals will be in the 5-10" range for the downtowns and most suburbs, with an outside shot at a foot. 7:38 PM Doppler radar mosaic: NOAA and AerisWeather.
Warnings. Most of the metro area is still under a Winter Storm Warning, with Blizzard Warnings posted southwest of a line from Mankato to New Ulm and Granite Falls, where white-out conditions are still being reported. I would stay off the roads tonight, if at all possible.
Complicating Factor. Sustained winds are 20-30 mph in the Twin Cities, just below blizzard criteria, but we are seeing (sustained) winds over 35 mph across much of south central and southwestern Minnesota, resulting in near-zero visibiliity and treacherous to impassable driving conditions.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
It was a very close call, but in the end the atmosphere over Minnesota was too cool and stable for tornadoes close to home. Just to our south, Iowa is recovering from one of the largest tornado outbreaks of the year, nationwide, with Pella and Marshalltown suffering direct hits. Details in the blog.
We've enjoyed a few spectacular days in a row, now it's time for a free lawn-watering. Not an all-day rain, but I expect frequent showers, even a few embedded thundershowers. Random pop-up showers spill into Friday but we slowly dry out over the weekend as temperatures warm into the low 80s. July ends on a cool, comfortable note. Payback for a stinking-hot first half of summer.
It will be hard to top Tuesday's weather, but today looks fairly nice - a few degrees warmer with a little more humidity in the air. A slow-moving storm arrives with more rain late tonight into Thursday, with a few showers straggling into Friday before we start to dry out over the weekend. Another cool surge arrives next week with a string of 70-degree highs; maybe 60s up north, where locals may drag out sweatshirts and light jackets. And no, we haven't seen the last of the 90s this summer...
If you're weary of the dew point and heat index I have some good news: a pattern shift will allow a parade of Canadian cool fronts to venture south - providing a welcome break from the worst of the heat for the next 2 weeks. Beyond that it's anyone's guess. The chance of an El Nino warm phase in the Pacific is increasing for late 2018 and early 2019, which (may) imply greater odds of a milder, drier winter. As always, your results may vary.
Cooler and more comfortable air is sliding in from Canada for the first half of the work week, with highs expected to be slightly below average for mid-July. You may even have the opportunity to turn off the air conditioner for a while! Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser