80s And 90s In June

Summer is here, and that means heat will be on the increase across the region. But how much of that heat really does set in during the month of June?

In looking up this data, one thing I was surprised with is that we only average 14 days with a high of 80F or higher. It just feels like we typically observe a lot more. However, if you look at the past few years, you can see how accurate that average seems to be:

  • 2017: 18 days
  • 2016: 15 days
  • 2015: 12 days
  • 2014: 16 days
  • 2013: 12 days

In fact, you have to go back to 2007 before you see a year with at least 20 days at or above 80 in June (with 20 days in total)... and 2004 to get less than 10 days (that June had 7 days). The most was back in 1933 when 26 of the 30 days saw a high of at least 80.

Well, we've already observed 6 90F+ degree days so far this year (all of them at the end of May), but how often does a high of 90F+ actually occur in June? Turns out, potentially not as often as you thought. We only average 3 days each June with a 90F+ degree high, and only six years total (since 1873) have had 10+ days with a high of 90 or higher. The last June that we saw at least 10 days with a 90 degree high in was back in 1988 when we had a total of 13 days. The most 90F+ days in June was back in 1933, when 17 days reached that mark.

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Fairly Steady Warmth With Several Storm Chances
By D.J. Kayser, filling in for Paul Douglas

Signs of summer arriving are all around us right now: kids are starting their vacations from school, numerous outdoor water parks are opening, festival season is here, and heat and humidity is on the rise across the region. But how warm does it typically get during the month of June?

In June, the Twin Cities typically averages fourteen days with a high of 80F+ and three days of 90F+ heat when looking at the long range averages dating back to 1873. Only six Junes in Twin Cities history have had at least ten days of 90 degree heat, with the most occurring in 1933 when residents sweltered though seventeen 90F+ days.

While there are no 90s in the forecast the next several days for the Twin Cities, parts of western Minnesota could pop above that mark later today. Rumbles of thunder are likely Wednesday and then again Thursday Night into Saturday. The good news with this upcoming rain is that is should help to alleviate our rainfall deficit for the year, which currently sits at a little over a half an inch.

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Extended Twin Cities Forecast

TUESDAY: Lots of sunshine. Late night storms possible. High 80. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind E 5-10 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Showers and storms, some strong? High 83. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 60%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.
THURSDAY: Mainly cloudy. Nighttime rumbles. High 83. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wind NE 3-8 mph.
FRIDAY: Another round of storms. High 81. Low 65. Chance of precipitation 60%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.
SATURDAY: A few scattered storms. High 83. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SE 3-8 mph.
SUNDAY: Better half of the weekend. Sunny. High 82. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.
MONDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. High 83. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind SE 5-15 mph.

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This Day in Weather History
June 5th

1930: Heavy rain falls at Waseca. 4.3 inches of rain would fall over 24 hours.

1915: This date marks the first of a long stretch of days of measurable rain at Winton near Ely. Measurable rain would fall on each day until 19th. The total amount of rain for the fifteen days was over six inches.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
June 5th

Average High: 76F (Record: 92F set in 1925)
Average Low: 55F (Record: 40F set in 2000)
Average Precipitation: 0.13" (Record: 2.53" set in 1980)

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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 5th

Sunrise: 5:27 AM
Sunset: 8:55 PM

*Length Of Day: 15 hours, 27 minutes and 52 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~1 minutes and 9 seconds

*Earliest Sunrise: June 13th-17th (5:25 AM)
*Next Sunset Of 9:00 PM Or Later: June 12th (9:00 PM)
*Day With Most Daylight? June 21st (Daylight Length: 15:36:49)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

Tuesday will be another sunny day across most of the state, however a few thicker clouds will be possible across northern Minnesota at times. Highs will be in the 70s and 80s across most of the state with highs stuck in the 50s and 60s along the North Shore of Lake Superior.

Highs across a good portion of Minnesota Tuesday will be a good 5-10 degrees above average for early June, but they will be closer to the average in northern parts of the state.

As we head toward Tuesday Night we will be watching storms form over the Dakotas that will roll their way east and slowly decrease in intensity. A few of them overnight could still be on the strong side, though. There is a Marginal Risk of severe storms across western Minnesota, and a Slight Risk across parts of northwestern Minnesota. Damaging winds would be the main threat.

Temperatures will start off around 60 in the Twin Cities on Tuesday, climbing to around 80 for a high. Winds could gust up to 15 mph during the morning hours, decreasing during the afternoon.

Temperatures will be fairly steady over the next seven days in the Twin Cites, with highs in the low to mid 80s. No big heat bump is expected soon, but we could see highs approach 90 by the middle of next week for a day or two.

At least a quarter to a half an inch of rain will be possible with the storms as they move across the state Tuesday Night into Wednesday, as well as with redeveloping storms Wednesday afternoon across southern Minnesota.

A few of those storms Wednesday afternoon and evening could be on the strong side across southern Minnesota as well. Already a Slight Risk of severe weather is in place for the potential of large hail and damaging winds.

We will be watching several chances of rain over the next several days. Besides that Tuesday Night into Wednesday chance, we'll also see chances Thursday Night into Saturday, and then again into next week.

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National Weather Forecast

On Tuesday, a low pressure system will move through the Northeast, bringing the threat of showers and storms along with it and its accompanying cold front from the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic into the Ohio Valley. An area of low pressure moving into the Northern Plains will spark showers and storms across parts of the Northern Rockies into the upper Midwest. A few showers and storms will also be possible from the panhandle of Texas to the northern Gulf Coast due to a stationary front.

The heaviest rain through Saturday morning will be found across a few areas of the country:

  • The Northern Plains and upper Midwest, where up to 2-3" of rain will be possible
  • Along parts of the Gulf Coast, where a few inches of rain will fall
  • And in parts of the Northeast, with at least a half an inch of rain possible

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Guatemala's Fuego volcano erupts, killing at least 25

More from CNN: "Guatemala's Fuego volcano erupted, killing at least 25 people and leaving residents covered in ash as they fled from billowing plumes. The volcanic eruption Sunday spewed a river of red hot lava and belched thick clouds of smoke nearly six miles into the air, according to the CONRED, the government agency for disaster reduction. Ashen remnants covered neighborhoods. In addition to the fatalities, 20 others were injured, CONRED said."

How Do Aliens Solve Climate Change?

More from The Atlantic: "The universe does many things. It makes galaxies, comets, black holes, neutron stars, and a whole mess more. We’ve lately discovered that it makes a great deal of planets, but it’s not clear whether it regularly makes energy-hungry civilizations, nor is it clear whether such civilizations inevitably drive their planets into climate change. There’s lots of hope riding on our talk about building a sustainable civilization on Earth. But how do we know that’s even possible? Does anyone across the cosmos ever make it? Remarkably, science has now advanced to point where we can take a first step at answering this question. I know this because my colleagues and I have just published a first study mapping out possible histories of alien planets, the civilizations they grow, and the climate change that follows. Our team was made up of astronomers, an earth scientist, and an urban ecologist. It was only half-jokingly that we thought of our study as a “theoretical archaeology of exo-civilizations.” “Exo-civilizations” are what people really mean when they talk about aliens. Astronomers refer to the new worlds they’ve discovered as “exoplanets.” They’re now gearing up to use the James Webb Space Telescope and other instruments to search for life by looking for signs of “exo-biospheres” on those exoplanets. So if we have exoplanets and exo-biospheres, it’s time to switch out the snicker-inducing word “aliens” for the real focus of our concerns: exo-civilizations."

Your Food Choices Can Have a Big Climate Impact, So Be Picky, New Study Says

More from Inside Climate News: "When it comes to the climate impacts of our diet, it pays to be particular. One bowl of rice can have six times the climate impact of another. Beer from a bottle can result in more greenhouse gas emissions than beer from a keg. One cup of coffee's carbon footprint may be 15 times bigger than another's. Those are some of the findings in a sweeping study, published Thursday in the journal Science, that looked at the complexities of the world's food and agricultural systems to determine the environmental impacts of food production. It found that if the world's consumers want to put a genuine dent in greenhouse gas emissions from food production, they should make one choice above all: Switch to a plant-based diet."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Tuesday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser

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