Enhanced Severe Thunderstorm Risk by Afternoon: Hail and Damaging Winds Possible
June 10, 2016 — 9:42am
Significant Severe T-storm Risk Today. NOAA SPC has much of Minnesota in a "slight risk", with an "enhanced" risk of severe storms, large hail, damaging straight-line winds and isolated tornadoes just north and east of the MSP metro area into central Wisconsin.
A Few Tornadoes? With a warm frontal boundary snaking just north of the metro there may be enough low-level wind shear for a few tornadic, supercell thunderstorms this afternoon and evening; the best chance northeast of the Twin Cities.
Timing the Storms. NOAA's HRRR model develops a squall line into the metro area by mid-afternoon. The future radar prediction above is valid at 2 PM, although I suspect storms may initiate a little later in the afternoon. Stay alert for watches and warnings later today.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
A longer-duration snow event is possible Monday into Tuesday with 2-5" of snow expected in the Twin Cities. Meanwhile, enjoy the little warm up early this week, as we're downright cold once again by Friday. Click for details! - D.J. Kayser
Expect single digits & teens for highs into early February; even the metro area may not climb above 0F on Friday. Chillingly good news: we'll all be well-preserved! Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
The mercury may finally dip below 0F over the weekend in the Twin Cities; the latest 'first subzero' reading on record at MSP. And the 11 inches of snow that's piled up so far this winter is the least, to date, since 2007. Check the blogs for more details. -Todd Nelson
Another major winter storm pushes south of Minnesota Friday, yanking the coldest air of the season so far into town this weekend. Daytime highs hold in single digits and teens Saturday & Sunday before recovering next week. No significant natural snow in sight, but it will be cold enough for ski resorts to make snow. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson