Wednesday Morning Storms

Storms rolled through the region Wednesday morning, bringing some heavy rain and gusty winds along with them. The heaviest rain fell across parts of central Minnesota, where over an inch of rain was recorded in Park Rapids (1.70") and Pine River (1.28").

These storms also contained some gusty winds. The highest wind gusts that were reported across central and southern Minnesota were 67 mph in Benson and 62 mph in St. Cloud. Winds at times gusted to over 30 mph in the Twin Cities along with the rain.

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Storms Return Thursday Night Into Friday
By D.J. Kayser, filling in for Paul Douglas

Were you awakened by a few noisy storms yesterday morning? A line of storms brought a dose of rain to the state, with over an inch reported in Park Rapids and Pine River. The storms also contained gusty winds with a 67 mph wind gust reported in Benson and a 62 mph gust in St. Cloud.

Calmer weather is expected today, with the only chance of a few isolated storms situated over southern Minnesota. More storms chances start moving back in Thursday Night lasting into Saturday, though, as our next storm system moves in. The best chance for rain will be Friday and Friday Night when a half an inch to an inch of rain could fall. We’ll get a complete break in the rain on Sunday before another system brings additional storms to the region early next week.

Mild weather will continue through the middle of next week, with little variance day-to-day in terms of highs in the Twin Cities. Our current average high is 76F, meaning highs will be a good 5-10F above average over many of the next several days.

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Extended Twin Cities Forecast

THURSDAY: Mainly sunny. Storms move in tonight. High 81. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind NE 3-8 mph.
FRIDAY: Showers and storms. High 79. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.
SATURDAY: Mainly cloudy. Isolated storm chance. High 81. Low 63. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 5-10 mph.
SUNDAY: Dry with a mix of clouds and sun. High 82. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind SE 5-15 mph.
MONDAY: Another round of storms. High 81. Low 61. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wind SE 5-15 mph.
TUESDAY: Calm and dry. Mainly sunny skies. High 82. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NW 5-10 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Another sunny, warm day. High 81. Low 60. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind W 5-10 mph.

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This Day in Weather History
June 7th

2011: The Twin Cities reach a high of 103 degrees, shattering the previous record high by 8 degrees.

1939: Grapefruit-sized hail falls in Rock County, killing hundreds of farm animals near Hills.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
June 7th

Average High: 76F (Record: 103F set in 2011)
Average Low: 56F (Record: 35F set in 1998)
Average Precipitation: 0.13" (Record: 2.91" set in 1984)

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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 7th

Sunrise: 5:27 AM
Sunset: 8:57 PM

*Length Of Day: 15 hours, 29 minutes and 58 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~1 minutes and 1 seconds

*Earliest Sunrise: June 13th-17th (5:25 AM)
*Next Sunset Of 9:00 PM Or Later: June 12th (9:00 PM)
*Day With Most Daylight? June 21st (Daylight Length: 15:36:49)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

It'll be a pleasant day Thursday across most of the state of Minnesota, with many areas climbing into the 70s and 80s for highs with a mix of clouds and sun. The best chance of any storms during the day will be across southern Minnesota.

We can see the effect of some easterly winds off Lake Superior along the North Shore Thursday, where highs will be stuck in the 50s and 60s.

Highs will be a good 3-8 degrees above average across the state Thursday.

A few of the storms Thursday could be on the strong side across southwestern Minnesota, where a Marginal Risk of severe weather is in place. Large hail and damaging winds would be the main threats.

Looking at the extended temperature outlook for the Twin Cities, highs and lows will be fairly steady as we go throughout at least the next week. Highs will be around or in the low 80s, with lows in the low to mid 60s.

We do watch more rain chances in the forecast, though. The first will move in Thursday Night into Saturday, with the heaviest precipitation expected Friday and Friday Night. Another round of showers and storms will move in early next week.

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National Weather Forecast

Thursday will feature a frontal system from the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes, bringing storm chances from Montana into the Central Plains. The heaviest rain is likely to fall across parts of the mid-Mississippi and mid-Missouri Valleys as well as in eastern Montana and western South Dakota. A low pressure center will help spread some of this rain into the upper Midwest Thursday Night. Diurnal showers and storms will be possible across Florida. 

Through Monday morning, there will be two areas of heavy rain across the country. The first will be across parts of Iowa, where over 3" of rain could fall due to storms along a somewhat stalled frontal boundary. Daily storm chances across a good portion of Florida could also bring the potential of 1-2"+ of rain through the weekend.

Taking a look ahead to Saturday, the third leg of the Triple Crown - the Belmont Stakes - will be held in Elmont, NY. Right now there are storms in the forecast for post time in the 6 PM ET hour Saturday. According to XBTV: "If the track happens to be something other than fast for the Belmont, Justify also will make history by becoming the only Triple Crown winner to win all three races on wet tracks."

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Coastal communities saw record number of high tide flooding days last year

More from NOAA: "People living on the coast may see flooded sidewalks and streets more frequently this year due, in part, to El Nino conditions that are predicted to develop later this year, and from long-term sea level rise trends. The projected increase in high tide flooding in 2018 may be as much as 60 percent higher across U.S. coastlines as compared to typical flooding about 20 years ago, according to NOAA scientists."

When Tropical Cyclones Can’t Move On

More from NCEI: "Tropical cyclones—also sometimes referred to as hurricanes and typhoons—are taking substantially longer to move from place to place, according to a new study by NCEI scientist Jim Kossin. In his paper, “A Global Slowdown of Tropical Cyclone Translation Speed,” published in Nature, Kossin demonstrates that, globally, tropical cyclones slowed by 10 percent between 1949 and 2016. With additional water vapor in the atmosphere in a warming world, as little as a 10 percent slowdown could double local rainfall and flooding impacts caused by 1°C of warming."

Satellite imagery is revolutionizing the world. But should we always trust what we see?

More from The Conversation: "In 1972, the crew of Apollo 17 captured what has become one of the most iconic images of the Earth: the Blue Marble. Biochemist Gregory Petsko described the image as “perfectly representing the human condition of living on an island in the universe.” Many researchers now credit the image as marking the beginning of environmental activism in the U.S. The Blue Marble. Wikimedia Satellite images are part of the big data revolution. These images are captured through remote sensing technologies – like drones, aerial photographs and satellite sensors – without physical contact or firsthand experience. Algorithms refine these data to describe places and phenomena on the Earth’s surface and in the atmosphere. As a geographer, I work with geospatial data, including satellite images. This imagery offers a powerful way to understand our world. But I think it’s important for people to understand the limitations of this technology, lest they misunderstand what they see."

Flooding And Rising Seas Threaten America's Oldest Farmland

More from NPR: "Bob Fitzgerald lives on the edge of a flat field that's just a few feet above sea level. It's the same spot on Maryland's Eastern Shore where his ancestors settled before the U.S. became a country.  "The land grant came into the family in 1666," he says.  When he was a child his parents grew tomatoes, cucumbers and string beans. Now nearing 80, Fitzgerald plants corn and soybeans to supply local chicken farms.  This area is some of the oldest farmland in America. But the land here is sinking, and as the climate warms, sea levels are rising. Fitzgerald says a tidal creek that runs alongside his fields is flooding more. Just the other day the water in one section of his land was higher than he'd ever seen it. "

Number of African Migrants Will Double by 2050 and Climate Change Will Make It Worse

More from Newsweek: "The number of Africans leaving their home country to move to other parts of the globe is expected to more than double in upcoming years, with climate change acting as a main accelerator of this expected migration. Although an imminent mass exodus is not expected, new findings do show the real-life effects of changing weather patterns.  A European Commission report aimed to identify past and present migration patterns in Africa and use these models to predict how future migration may look. Results revealed that although the number of Africans leaving their country of birth for long periods of time or for good is currently about 1.4 million a year, by 2050 this number is expected to reach between 2.8 million to 3.5 million a year."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Thursday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser

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