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Paul Douglas on Weather

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May 21
Sliding Into a Hot, Sticky, Thundery Pattern (90F Possible By Holiday Weekend)

Sliding Into a Hot, Sticky, Thundery Pattern (90F Possible By Holiday Weekend)

Today was a little on the cool side, although the observed high of 71F is average for May 21. A big shout-out to volunteer weather observers who collect data for NOAA NCDC's COOP program - details in the blog. A hot front is brewing for late week and the weekend. Yes, it may be good time for holiday weekend plans. There, I just jinxed the forecast.
Blogs
May 20
Cool & Damp Monday - Warmer & More Unsettled 2nd Half of Week

Cool & Damp Monday - Warmer & More Unsettled 2nd Half of Week

A stray shower is possible today, but amounts will be light - enough to settle the dust. Temperatures & dew points creep up as the week goes on; more numerous T-storms Wednesday into Friday. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Blogs
May 20
A Nice Sunday Ahead - Rain Chances Return Monday

A Nice Sunday Ahead - Rain Chances Return Monday

A very nice spring day is expected Sunday as highs will climb to around 70 with a mix of sun and clouds. Rain chances do return next week, and parts of the state could certainly use a bit of rain at the moment. Click for more details! - D.J. Kayser
Blogs
May 18
Rinse and Repeat: Heaviest Rains Track South of MSP This Weekend

Rinse and Repeat: Heaviest Rains Track South of MSP This Weekend

Many of us got our obligatory ration of rainwater last night as the first line of T-storms rumbled across the area. It was good hearing the sound of rain on the roof - we needed it. Expect a cloudier, cooler pattern over the weekend with a chance of a shower, but significant rains remain over far southern Minnesota and Iowa. Again.
Blogs
May 17
Outbreak of "Summer Flu" Today - Showers May Lift Weekend Spirits

Outbreak of "Summer Flu" Today - Showers May Lift Weekend Spirits

The past few days have been something: warmth without the bugs and humidity and raging T-storms. The best of all worlds. You'll get one more chance to soak up July sunshine today with 80s likely. If we're lucky a few showers and T-storms will survive the trip into MSP later Saturday and Sunday.
Blogs
May 16
Instant Summer - Shower (Opportunity) May Be Lessening for Saturday

Instant Summer - Shower (Opportunity) May Be Lessening for Saturday

The latest guidance keeps most of the heavy rain and T-storm activity well west of MSP into Saturday. Showers and storms are likely over west central and northern Minnesota, but if NOAA's 00z model run suite is on the right track, there may be few puddles in the immediate metro area.
Blogs
May 15
Surprise Summer - More Welcome Rain Coming - China Gets Serious About Weather Modification

Surprise Summer - More Welcome Rain Coming - China Gets Serious About Weather Modification

It will be hard to top Tuesday, but today may come close with temperatures 5-8 degrees warmer - a great day to suffer May Flu and get out on your favorite lake, terrace or golf course. Good luck. A few T-storms flare up late Thursday, with Saturday (probably) the wettest day as a sloppy front limps across the state. Poor timing, but we'll take the rain. Sunday still looks like the better day to see if the lawnmower will start.
Blogs
May 15
Lukewarm Sunshine Returns - Late Week Front May Ease Dry Spell

Lukewarm Sunshine Returns - Late Week Front May Ease Dry Spell

Call me crazy (heard it before) but I was happy to see yesterday's rain across central Minnesota. We're still drier than average in recent weeks, but yesterday's rain helped, and more puddles may be brewing for late week. In the meantime try to savor 2 very fine days; low 80s tomorrow should provide a preview of coming attractions.
Blogs
May 13
Warm To Begin The Week - A Few Afternoon Showers Monday?

Warm To Begin The Week - A Few Afternoon Showers Monday?

Warm weather will stick around through the first part of the week, with highs in the low 80s. While an isolated shower or storm is possible Monday, our next best chance of rain in the Twin Cities won't be until the end of the week, only growing the precipitation deficit since March across the metro. Click for more details! - D.J. Kayser
Blogs
May 13
Spurts of Lukewarm Sun for Mother's Day

Spurts of Lukewarm Sun for Mother's Day

The sun pokes holes in the clouds today and daytime highs kiss 80 degrees Monday into Thursday. A T-storm may fire up late tomorrow, especially southern Minnesota. Again. At least we salvaged a decent Mother's Day. My late mother once told me "Don't buy me anything, even a cheesy card. What I want most is a little face-time." Good advice. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Blogs
May 11
Cool, Drama-Free Fishing Opener. Springier for Mother's Day

Cool, Drama-Free Fishing Opener. Springier for Mother's Day

The rain stayed south of the Twin Cities, and barring a major shift in the pattern (always possible) I'm starting to worry a little about the risk of drought for central and northern Minnesota as we head into June. It's early to get too concerned - but southern Minnesota is too wet, and the rest of the state is trending too dry. No big, statewide storms with significant rain looking out a week or so, just a clearing trend and a warming trend over the weekend; highs flirting with 80F much of next week.
Blogs
May 11
Heaviest Rain Stays South of MSP - Improving Weather for Fishing Opener (and mom)

Heaviest Rain Stays South of MSP - Improving Weather for Fishing Opener (and mom)

Lawns and gardens will perk up today as the next storm throws a shield of moderate rain across southern Minnesota. Some .5 to 1" amounts are possible in the metro, possibly more than that closer to the Iowa line. Showers taper tonight and we salvage a pretty good weekend. Good news for anyone heading out for the Opener. Spring returns in full force Sunday - just in time for mom.
Blogs
May 9
Heaviest Rains Pass South of MSP Tonight - Decent Fishing Opener

Heaviest Rains Pass South of MSP Tonight - Decent Fishing Opener

At least we don't experience hurricanes, earthquakes and volcanoes. We get everything else Mother Nature is capable of serving up, but it can always be worse. Tonight's system takes a more southerly track, brushing MSP with light showers, but heaviest rains pass well south of the metro. We dry out over the weekend - Sunday looks like the nicer day of the weekend. Don't forget Mother's Day!
Blogs
May 8
Much-Needed Soaking - Minnesota Trending Wetter Over Time

Much-Needed Soaking - Minnesota Trending Wetter Over Time

It sure was nice hearing the drum roll of heavy/steady rain on the roof overnight - a million dollar rainfall for farmers, and a welcome soaking for anyone with a lawn or garden. Showers taper today but another wave of heavy rain is possible late Thursday into Friday, especially over southern Minnesota. We should salvage an OK weekend, especially Sunday.
Blogs
May 7
Much-Needed Showers Coming; Cooling Off Later This Week

Much-Needed Showers Coming; Cooling Off Later This Week

Was anyone complaining about the heat yesterday? I sure hope not. No humidity, no bugs - it felt like a dream out there Sunday and Monday. Mother Nature trying to atone for April's snowy tantrum. The chance of showers increases today and tonight; hopefully a half inch or more of rain by Wednesday, with more coming by Friday. Stating the obvious: we need the rain.
Blogs
May 6
Highs Around 80 Monday - 1.5"-2" Of Rain Expected Through Next Weekend

Highs Around 80 Monday - 1.5"-2" Of Rain Expected Through Next Weekend

Enjoy sunshine and highs around 80 Monday, as the rest of the week will be a different story. Temperatures will drop back below average by the second half of the week, and we'll see 1.5"-2" of rain between now and the end of the Fishing Opener/Mother's Day weekend. Click for more details! - D.J. Kayser
Blogs
May 5
Enjoying Spring FINALLY - Unsettled Next Week

Enjoying Spring FINALLY - Unsettled Next Week

If you look close, 50 shades of green are starting to show up on trees and plants near you. Hallelujah! However, according to Pollen.com, pollen levels have been running at HIGH levels over the last several days and will continue to run high for a while. ACHOOO! Where'd I put that Benadrly... Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Blogs
May 4
Happy Cinco de Mayo! Few Strong T-storms Possible Later Today

Happy Cinco de Mayo! Few Strong T-storms Possible Later Today

Friday was perfect. Impossible to top. Let's just fold up the tent now and resign ourselves to bugs, humidity and gangs of roving thunderstorms in the coming months. The weekend looks pretty good, in spite of a few (strong) T-storms by late afternoon and evening. If you need a dry day: opt for tomorrow.
Blogs
May 4
Fire Weather Watch Posted for Gusty Winds & Low Humidity

Fire Weather Watch Posted for Gusty Winds & Low Humidity

Can the weather be "too nice?" Around these parts the obvious answer is no, not after the April we just muddled through. This is pay-back, the universe righting a wrong, spring the way it was meant to be. Except it's now too dry, too sunny, and too windy. The result is a Fire Weather Watch, which includes the MSP metro area. An instability shower or T-storm is possible Saturday afternoon. Probably just enough rain to settle the dust...
Blogs
May 2
Minnesota Meteorologists at Rare (and Welcome) Loss for Words

Minnesota Meteorologists at Rare (and Welcome) Loss for Words

I'm at a temporary loss for words - and I'm actually OK with that. No weather drama brewing anytime soon, just garden-variety showers late Thursday, another chance late Saturday. No mega-storms, no tornado outbreaks close to home - just comfortable temperatures in a frost-free environment. Spring came late, but it's here, and we finally make up for lost time. Imagine that.
Blogs
May 2
Drier Today - Thursday Showers - Another Spring Fling Weekend

Drier Today - Thursday Showers - Another Spring Fling Weekend

It was nice hearing rain drumming on the rooftop overnight - we need the rain, and another chance of showers comes on Thursday across southern Minnesota, possibly reaching the MSP metro. Our reward should be a fine weekend, in spite of a slight risk of an instability shower late Saturday. Cue the green-up.
Blogs
April 30
Mayday! Mayday! Against All Odds - Spring is Really Here

Mayday! Mayday! Against All Odds - Spring is Really Here

With any luck you may be the proud recipient of a free lawn-watering later today and tonight - not the soaking we need, but we'll take it. A few (minor) cool fronts are brewing, but nothing unusual for early May. It took forever, but we have finally turned the corner into spring.
Blogs
April 29
A Few Welcome Showers Over The Next 72 Hours - First 80 Of The Year Monday?

A Few Welcome Showers Over The Next 72 Hours - First 80 Of The Year Monday?

While April 2018 will go down as the snowiest April in Twin Cities history, we are actually below average in the precipitation department for the month. Click to find out when we are likely to see a few showers and (potentially strong?) storms over the next few days. - D.J. Kayser
Blogs
April 29
RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY - Outdoor Burning Not Recommended

RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY - Outdoor Burning Not Recommended

Sunday may tickle your weather taste buds with late afternoon temperatures hovering near 70F. A southerly fetch direct from the Gulf of Mexico will fuel showers and T-storms tonight and Monday morning. There's even a slight severe storm risk over far southwest Minnesota. If the sun breaks through tomorrow we may hit 80F with sticky dew points near 60F. Flip a switch: instant summer. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Blogs
April 27

Quiet, Blue-Sky Weekend; Over 1" Rain Next Week?

We're due for a pattern change, and it's coming - but not until we savor a pretty nice weekend. Today will be cooler than average, but out in the sun it should feel great by afternoon as winds ease. Upper 60s are expected tomorrow with a glimpse of summer-to-come on Monday. It's getting pretty dry out there (in spite of river flooding) so we could use some rain to recharge soil moisture and green things up in a hurry. A much wetter pattern is on tap for next week.