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Weather World Benefiting from Drone Technology

Sunday Tornado in Arco, MN (2nd ONLY MN Tornado This Year)
 
Thanks to Kayla Marie Sanderson for the picture below, who shared this on Facebook of a tornado that developed near Arco, MN on Sunday! The good news is that the storm didn't produce any damage. Interestingly, this becomes only the 2nd tornado in the state of Minnesota so far this year. The other weak tornado touched down in near Minnesota Lake, MN (Faribault County) on Friday, May 25th.
 
 
Saturday Halo
 
I was at the Twins game this weekend and happened to catch this halo, which looks like a ring around the sun. This reflection of light through ice crystals in upper level clouds made for a bright spectacle during the game. The old adage states that a ring around the moon or sun, then rain or snow will surely come.
 
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Weather Outlook
 
A slow moving area of low pressure will keep skies a bit unsettled through the early week time frame with bouts of showers and storms across the Upper Midwest. It looks like ongoing showers and storms from Sunday will linger on Monday and Tuesday before shifting east into the Great Lakes Region on Wednesday.
 
 
Rainfall Potential
 
Here's the rainfall potential through 7pm Wednesday, which suggests areas of heavy rain falling across far southern MN. Some spots could see up to 1", especially closer to the Iowa border.
 
 
Severe Threat Far Southern MN
 
NOAA's SPC has issued a MARGINAL risk of severe weather across far southern Minnesota on Monday for the potential of strong of a few strong to severe storms. The primary concern would isolated large hail and/or damaging wind potential. Stay tuned.
 

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Excessive Rainfall Potential Monday
 
According to NOAA's WPC there is a slight risk of excessive rainfall across parts of the Midwest, including Minnesota. With all the rain that some spots have seen over the last several days, there is certainly a chance that flooding will be possible.
 
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Dwindling Daylight...
 
This was a sunset picture from Saturday around 9pm. Daylight hours are still very long here in the northern hemisphere, but now that we are past the summer solstice, daylight hours are dwindling. Keep in mind that daylight hours won't dwindling too fast here through the end of June, but we wiill lose a few minutes by the end of the month.
 
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Extended Temperature Outlook

The extended forecast into the early part of July shows hot weather returning with highs warming into the 90s. Now the GEFS model (top picture) seems to be a little warmer than the ECMWF (bottom picture), but they both show temperatures warming by the end of the month/early July.

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 Warmest May 1st Through June 22nd on Record
 
According to the Twin Cities NWS, the period from May 1st through June 22nd was the warmest such period on record! The average temperature was 69.3F, which tied the record also set in 1934. Quite a difference from April when the average temperature was nearly -10F below average and the 4th coldest April on record.
 
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Tropical Storm Daniel In the Eastern Pacific

Here a satellite image of Tropical Storm Daniel in the Eastern Pacific from early Monday. Daniel became the 4th named storm of the season in the Eastern Pacific over the weekend, but will likely fade over the next few days as it drifts west away from any major land mass.

 
 
Tracking Tropical Storm Daniel

As of early Monday morning NOAA's NHC official forecast for Tropical Storm Daniel had it dropping to Tropical Depression strength late Monday and drifting west away from any major land mass. So long "Fish Storm".

 

Active in the Eastern Pacific

The NHC is also monitoring 3 other waves in the Eastern Pacific, which as of early Monday one had a HIGH chance of tropical formation, while the other 2 had a MEDIUM chance and low chance of formation over the next 5 days. Stay tuned...
 
 
Activity in the Atlantic? 

According to NOAA's NHC, the Atlantic Basin looks pretty quiet. At this point, there are no new tropical cycolnes expected during the next 5 days.

 Tropical Climatology (June 21st - 30th)
 
This is neat map from NOAA's NHC, which shows where we typically see tropical cyclones develop in late June. Note that in the Atlantic, the points of origin correlate well with where the named storms have been developing in the Eastern Pacific. Also note that points of origin start showing up in the Central Atlantic in late June, but really heat up in August and September.
 
 
Average Peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season
 
According to NOAA, the average peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is on September 10th. Note that activity (on average) in late June and early July remains pretty tame. Things really start to heat up in August and September though!
 

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National Lightning Safety Awareness Week (June 24th - 30th)
 
"National Lightning Safety Awareness week was started in 2001 to call attention to this underrated killer. Since then, U.S. lightning fatalities have dropped from about 50 per year to about 30. This reduction in fatalities is largely due to greater awareness of the lightning danger, and people seeking safety when thunderstorms threaten. During National Lightning Safety Awareness Week, we encourage you to learn more about lightning and lightning safety. "
 
 
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"1 person dies after lightning strike on beach near Sarasota"
 

"One person died after they were struck by lightning Sunday afternoon while on a beach near Sarasota, authorities said. The Sarasota County Sheriff's Office said the victim was struck just after 2 p.m. in the 6000 block of Midnight Pass Road in Siesta Key. The victim, who was not identified, was treated at the scene by paramedics and lifeguards. Paramedics transported the victim to a local hospital, where the victim died. Florida routinely leads the nation in lightning deaths, according to the National Weather Service. Five of the 16 fatal lightning strikes in the U.S. in 2017 happened in Florida, which was down from 2016, when there were 10 fatalities in the state. This year in South Florida, one man was killed earlier this month in Margate while doing yard work and a farm worker was killed in Parkland in May. Two other workers were hurt during the same storm. "In terms of lightning, Florida has the most lightning per square mile of any state in the U.S. and also a sizable population," National Weather Service lightning safety specialist John Jensenius said in a news release earlier this year. "In addition, Florida has many outdoor recreational activities that cause people to be vulnerable to a lightning strike. Finally, in Florida, lightning is a very common afternoon threat for those who work outside or are outside as part of their daily routine." 

See more from Local 10 HERE:


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2018 Lightning Fatalities - SIX

Did you know that lightning ranks as one of the top weather related killers in the U.S.? An average of nearly 50 people are killed each year in the United States and so far this year, 6 people have died from lightning; 3 in Florida, 1 in Texas, 1 in Tennesee, and now 1 in Arkansas. Interestingly, from 2008-2017, 222 males have died, while only 63 females have died.

See Lightning Safety Tips From NOAA HERE:

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2018 Tornadoes So Far...

According to NOAA's SPC, there have been ONLY 544 preliminary tornadoes so far this year (through June 23rd), which is quite a bit less than what we had at this time over the last several years. 2018, no question, has been a very quiet year in the national tornado department. Interestingly, there were 1,432 tornadoes at this time in 2011; that year ended with 1,897 tornadoes, which is nearly 500 more than the short-term 2005-2015 average. 

Average Tornadoes in June By State

Here's the average number of tornadoes during the month of June by state. Texas sees the most with 24, but interestingly, Minnesota averages 15 tornado this month, which is the most out of any other month during the year. Comparitively, Minnesota averages 11 in July and 5 in August, so we are entering our typical severe weather season here over the several weeks.

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3-7 Day Hazard Forecast

1.) Heavy rain across portions of the middle and upper Mississippi Valley, Mon-Tue, Jun 25-26.
2.) Excessive heat across much of California's Central Valley, Mon-Thu, Jun 25-28.
3.) Excessive heat across the interior central and eastern Gulf region, and the interior Southeast, Mon, Jun 25, and again on Thu-Fri, Jun 28-29.
4.) Excessive heat over the middle and lower Mississippi Valley and adjacent parts of the eastern Plains, and the lower Ohio and lower Tennessee Valleys, Mon-Fri, Jun 25-29.
5.) High winds over the south-central Plains, Mon, Jun 25.
6.) Flooding possible, probable, imminent or occurring over the general vicinity of the Midwest, northern Plains, northern Rockies, and south Texas.
7.) Slight risk of excessive heat across approximately the northeast quarter of the CONUS, Sat-Fri, Jun 30-Jul 5.
8.) Moderate risk of excessive heat from most of the Great Lakes region and northern Ohio Valley to the Atlantic Seaboard from Maine to Virginia(excluding the Appalachians), Sat-Tue, Jun 30-Jul 3.
9.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation over the north-central Mississippi Valley and nearby parts of adjacent states, Sat-Mon, Jun 30-Jul 2.
10.) Severe Drought across parts of the middle and lower Mississippi Valley, portions of the Great Plains, portions of both the Rockies and Intermountain region, and far southern California.

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Temperature Anomaly on Sunday

The temperature anomaly across North America on Sunday showed below average temperatures across much of the Central US and into eastern Canada, while warmer than average temps were found across the farsouthern US and the western half of Canada.

Temperature Trend

Here's the temperature anomaly as we head into the last week of June. Note that parts of the country look to start off a little cooler than average, but heat looks to make a return as we head through the week. 

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Weather Outlook Ahead

The weather loop below shows fairly active weather continuing across the Central US with strong to severe thunderstorms across the Upper Midwest and flooding rains possible as well.

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7 Day Precipitation Outlook

According to NOAA's WPC, the 7-day precipitation outlook suggests areas of heavy rain continuing across parts of the Central US. Several inches of rain can't be ruled out along with localized flooding, especially across the Upper Midwest, including parts of Minnesota.


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US Drought Outlook

Here is the national drought map from Thursday, June 19th, which shows extreme and exceptional drought conditions across much of the Four-Corners region and into the Central and Southern Plains. Heavy rains across the coastal bend of Texas helped with some of the drought there, but unfortunately it led to significant flooding.

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Weather World Benefiting from Drone Technology
By Paul Douglas

For my 60th birthday (how did THAT happen?) my kids got me a drone, a DJI Spark. I feel like a 4-year old with a new toy. Selfie? How 'bout a droney?

In the meteorological world, drones are doing things no pilot would dare to attempt. NOAA deploys "Coyote" drones into hurricanes, able to fly at low altitudes for over an hour, beaming back real-time data the entire time. No Hurricane Hunter can fly that close to the ocean's surface.

Oklahoma State is sending powerful drones into tornadic supercell T-storms, to get a 3-D thumbprint of the environment. They are designed to weather hail and winds up to 120 mph. My new drone can't do that, by the way. Yet.

After a damp start skies clear for a time Monday, with a dry east wind. But a stubborn storm will push showers and T-storms back into the area Monday night and Tuesday.

We heat up into the 90s on Friday, but a slightly-cooler-front sparks a few weekend T-storms, and some relief from swampy heat Sunday. 90s return just in time for the rockets red glare on July 4. A bird's eye view of fireworks with my new drone? Better call 911 now.

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Extended Forecast

MONDAY: Cool sun. Storms tonight. Winds: E 10-15. High: 78.

MONDAY NIGHT: Chance of T-storms. Winds: ESE 10-15. Low: 64.

TUESDAY: Showers likely. A few claps of thunder. Winds: E 7-12. High: 76.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Warmer and drier. Winds: NW 7-12. Wake-up: 63. High: 83.

THURSDAY:Plenty of sunshine, fine summer day. Winds: SE 8-13. Wake-up: 66. High: 87.

FRIDAY: Sizzling sunshine. Few T-storms north. Winds: SW 10-20. Wake-up: 71. High: 95.

SATURDAY: Still tropical. Chance of a T-storm. Winds: W 7-12. Wake-up: 74. High: 91.

SUNDAY: Cooling off. Few T-storms possible. Winds: SSW  5-15. High: 89.
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This Day in Weather History
June 25th

2003: Heavy rain falls across central Minnesota. Elk River picks up 8.19 inches. 4.36 inches fall in 4 hours in Maplewood, and there are reports of street flooding in St. Paul. Strong winds topple trees in Richfield.

1950: Flooding hits Warroad. Strong winds accompany waters that rose 4 feet in 10 minutes.
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Average High/Low for Minneapolis
June 25th

Average High: 82F (Record: 98F set in 1934)
Average Low: 62F (Record: 46F set in 1957)

Record Rainfall: 2.88" set in 1978
Record Snowfall: NONE
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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 25th

Sunrise: 5:28am
Sunset: 9:03pm

Hours of Daylight: ~15 hours & 36 minutes

Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~17 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): 1 Minute
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Moon Phase for June 25th at Midnight
2.9 Days Until Full "Strawberry"  Moon

Strawberry-picking season peaks this month. Europeans called this the Rose Moon. Fullness occurs at 12:58 a.m. EDT

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 Temp Outlook For Monday

Monday will be a little cooler than average, but dewpoints will be a little sticky with readings in the 60s

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8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook

According to NOAA's CPC, July 1st - 7th will be warmer than average across much of the nation with the exception of parts of the Northwest.

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"Deadly Monsoon Rains Have Displaced a Million People—and They’re Not Letting Up"

"The monsoon season can be a matter of life and death for people in South Asia. On the one hand, its rains nourish crops that feed millions. On the other, floods and landslides can create deadly hazards, as evidenced by what’s going on in northeast India and Bangladesh right now. Over the weekend, heavy rains flooded the Brahmaputra river, which flows through the Himalayas to make its way into India and Bangladesh. More than a million people are without homes as of Tuesday, Reuters reports. Nearly 20 people have died in the Indian states of Assam, Tripura, and Manipur. In Bangladesh, more than 10 people are dead. Entire villages are facing displacement, and the rain’s not stopping. Helicopters are on standby, according to the water resource minister for Assam."

See more from Earther.com HERE:


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"What happened last time it was as warm as it’s going to get later this century?"

"Kids today will be grandparents when most climate projections end—does the past have more hints? The year 2100 stands like a line of checkered flags at the climate change finish line, as if all our goals expire then. But like the warning etched on a car mirror: it’s closer than it appears. Kids born today will be grandparents when most climate projections end. And yet, the climate won’t stop changing in 2100. Even if we succeed in limiting warming this century to 2ºC, we’ll have CO2 at around 500 parts per million. That’s a level not seen on this planet since the Middle Miocene, 16 million years ago, when our ancestors were apes. Temperatures then were about 5 to 8ºC warmer not 2º, and sea levels were some 40 meters (130 feet) or more higher, not the 1.5 feet (half a meter) anticipated at the end of this century by the 2013 IPCC report. Why is there a yawning gap between end-century projections and what happened in Earth’s past? Are past climates telling us we’re missing something?"

See more from Arstechnica HERE:


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"How nature can help you predict the weather"

"Delete your weather app – the best forecasters are birds, plants and animals. Here are five ways that nature can help you predict the weather. Open daisies If rain is on the way, daisy petals close up to avoid letting a single drop in, and some even droop downwards. When the weather is fine, however, they remain open. This entire response mechanism only functions during the day, because daisies close up shop in the evenings, like many other flowers. This opening and shutting mechanism is due to a difference in growth between the upper and lower surfaces of a petal. The upper surface grows faster at higher temperatures than the lower surface, so the flower opens up. Dark rain clouds cause low temperatures, encouraging the underside to grow faster, and making the petals close up. This process also explains why they close at night, when it’s cooler."

See more from Science Focus HERE:


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"This Is What the World’s Largest Sand Desert Looks Like After a Tropical Cyclone"

"One of the driest places on earth is looking a bit wet these days. Tropical Cyclone Mekunu rolled over the country of Oman back in May, bringing huge downpours of rain — about 11 inches — to the capital city of Salalah. The nearby desert of Rub’ al-Khali, the world’s largest sand desert, also received significant precipitation. So much so that NASA’s Operational Land Imager captured images of hundreds of tiny lakes that formed in the ripples of the sand dunes, in an area known as the Empty Quarter. The satellite took the images three days after the storm."

See more from Travel and Leisure HERE:


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"Whether wheat weathers heat waves"

"A heat wave sweeps through a city and people swelter, running indoors to find air conditioning. But crops out in a field aren't so lucky. For them, there is no escape. Scientists in Australia are working to understand how heat waves impact wheat. They are mixing observational studies with techniques from computer science. This will allow them to create models to understand how wheat will respond in certain conditions. Heat can affect plants and the soil, water, air, and microbes around them in many different ways. Knowing how all of these factors affect crops could help farmers protect their plants against heat waves' effects. "Heat waves can greatly reduce wheat in growing regions and modeling could aid in finding strategies to limit the impact of extreme weather and climate change," says James Nuttall. Nuttall works for Australia's Agriculture Victoria, Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources. "This can specifically come in handy during the sensitive periods of crop flowering and the grain filling phase." Wheat is an important crop with a worldwide production of 729 million tons in 2014. It is a major source of human nutrition. Nuttall says that maintaining stable production into the future includes finding ways to reduce the effects of heat stress to plants."

See more from Eureka Alert HERE:


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Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

We Will Not Be "Cheated" - A Real Summer in 2018?

Ongoing Flooding In Southern Minnesota

Due to the recent heavy rain across southern Minnesota, we continue to watch rivers that are out of their banks across the region. Numerous Flood Warnings are in effect, including along parts of the Mississippi and Minnesota Rivers.

Here's a look at where rivers were sitting vs. flood stage as of 4 PM Saturday. The only river that was in major flood stage across southern Minnesota was the West Fork of the Des Moines River near Avoca, although numerous rivers were in major flood stage across parts of southeastern South Dakota and northwestern Iowa.

This graphic from the NWS Twin Cities shows when the Minnesota River is expected to crest at various locations across southern Minnesota. We will be dealing with river flooding into at least next week across the region, especially with additional rain expected over the next several days.

The Mississippi River at St. Paul will continue to rise through the week, with levels approaching 13.5ft (0.5ft below minor flood stage) by next Saturday. You can check out river forecasts for other area rivers from the NWS Twin Cities here.

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We Will Not Be "Cheated". A Real Summer in 2018?
By Paul Douglas

Mother Nature has a hilarious habit of doing the unexpected. A little over 2 months ago, in mid-April, when we were butt-deep in snowdrifts, who would have predicted that May 1 to June 22 would be the warmest on record, tying 1934 in the Twin Cities? I sure didn't. Some Minnesotans were worried we wouldn't have a real summer; that we'd be cheated out of our ration of fleeting warmth. Worry no more - I expect plenty of 90s this summer; significantly hotter than average.

Friends attending Lakes Jam at BIR asked me about staying safe during T-storms. Best advice: apps on your phone, keep an eye on the sky, and head for shelter (or your vehicle) at the first rumble of thunder. If you can hear thunder, you're at risk of being struck by lightning.

A slow-moving storm keeps showers and T-storms in our forecast into Tuesday. No all-day washouts, but when it does rain it could come down pretty fast. Just what waterlogged farmers in southern Minnesota don't need right now - more rain.

We heat up into the 90s on Friday; another surge of stinking-hot-weather by the 4th of July. Yeah!

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Extended Twin Cities Forecast

SUNDAY: Few showers & T-storms. High 80. Low 64. Chance of precipitation 50%. Wind E 8-13 mph.

MONDAY: More showers and T-storms, windy. High 79. Low 65. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind E 15-25 mph.

TUESDAY: Still soggy, another round of T-storms. High 78. Low 64. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind NE 10-15 mph.

WEDNESDAY: A nicer day, partly sunny, warmer. High 83. Low 67. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind NW 5-10 mph.

THURSDAY: Intervals of sun, sticky again. High 88. Low 72. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 8-13 mph.

FRIDAY: Steamy, few T-storms possible. High 92. Low 71. Chance of precipitation 50%. SW 10-20 mph.

SATURDAY: Unsettled, few showers & T-storms. High 87. Low 69. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind S 5-10 mph.

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This Day in Weather History
June 24th

2002: Heavy rains fall on already saturated ground, leading to flooding. 5.50 inches fall at Delano, and half of a mobile home park at Howard Lake is evacuated due to rising water.

1972: Frost develops across northeast Minnesota. Duluth has a low of 35 and Tower bottoms out at 32.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
June 24th

Average High: 82F (Record: 101F set in 1988)
Average Low: 62F (Record: 44F set in 1972)
Average Precipitation: 0.15" (Record: 2.36" set in 1911)

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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 24th

Sunrise: 5:27 AM
Sunset: 9:03 PM

*Length Of Day: 15 hours, 36 minutes and 24 seconds
*Daylight Lost Since Yesterday: ~12 seconds

*Next Sunrise Of 5:30 AM Or Later: July 1st (5:30 AM)
*Latest Sunset: June 20th-July 1st (9:03 PM)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

We will be watching the potential of scattered showers and storms across central and southern Minnesota on Sunday, with highs in the 70s for many locations across the state. The coolest weather will be up in the Arrowhead, where highs may only be in the 50s for some locations.

Taking a closer look at those highs in Northeastern Minnesota Sunday, places like Duluth, Two Habors and Tofte will only be in the 50s. Highs even as far northwest as Ely and Hibbing are likely to only be in the 60s. Temperatures will be cooler in these areas due to a lake breeze being driven inland.

While most of the state will see highs that are below average on Sunday, it'll be the Arrowhead region that sees the largest departure from average highs - potentially up to 15 degrees below average.

Slightly cooler weather looks to move in for the second half of the weekend and the early week timeframe, as highs will only be in the 70s. We do see a return of heat and humidity in the forecast, however, as we head toward next weekend and the first few days of July.

While rain will be more scattered across southern Minnesota Sunday, a better chance of rain starts to move in Monday and Tuesday across the region. Through 7 PM Monday, some areas of southwestern Minnesota could receive another 1-1.5" of rain.

Some of the rain Monday could cause additional flooding across parts of southern Minnesota. The Weather Prediction Center has a Slight Risk of excessive rain that could lead to flash flooding in place.

Through the middle of the week, the Twin Cities could see between about a half an inch to an inch and a half of rain. We'll see drier weather Wednesday and Thursday before more rain chances move in for the end of the week and next weekend.

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National Weather Forecast

Numerous areas of showers and storms will be possible from the Plains into the Ohio Valley, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic on Sunday. The area we are keeping a close eye on is across parts of the Central Plains, where a new system will be pushing out the the Rockies that will spark potentially strong to severe storms. Showers and storms will also be possible across parts of Florida on Sunday as well.

The heaviest rain through Thursday morning will be across parts of the Central Plains (particularly Sunday and Monday) as well as across southern and central Florida. Across these areas, 2-3"+ of rain could fall.

While we are not watching any areas in the Atlantic for potential development at the moment, there are three different areas in the Eastern Pacific that the National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on. The first has an 80% chance of formation in the next two days (the red area on the map above). If this system does form into a tropical depression, it will have to do so quickly, as it will move into cooler waters by early in the week. The second (the orange shaded area) has a 40% chance of formation over the next five days. If it does form, it will have to do so before a third tropical wave approaches from the east (the area in yellow, which has a 20% chance of development in the next five days).

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Moderate Severe Weather Risk Sunday Across Portions Of Kansas And Oklahoma - Praedictix Briefing: Saturday, June 23rd, 2018

  • A Moderate Risk of severe weather is in effect across parts of southern Kansas, northwestern Oklahoma, and far northern Texas Sunday.
  • Damaging wind gusts - some of which could be significant - will be the greatest threat, but very large hail and a few tornadoes will be possible as well with storms during the afternoon and evening hours.

Severe Threat Sunday. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate Risk of severe weather across parts of southern Kansas, northwestern Oklahoma and far northern Texas Sunday. This Moderate Risk area includes the cities of Hutchinson, Dodge City, Liberal, and Great Bend (KS), as well as Woodward, OK. As storms develop during the afternoon and evening, very large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats as well as a few tornadoes, especially if storms remain discrete. Once storms merge into lines, the main threat will become damaging wind gusts, some of which could be significant. It is due to the damaging wind threat that a Moderate Risk of severe weather has been issued.

Forecast. As we go through Sunday morning, at least one line of storms is expected to develop across Nebraska and move to the southeast. More storms will develop in western Kansas into the Oklahoma and Texas panhandles during the mid-afternoon to early evening hours initially capable of very large hail, damaging wind, and a few tornadoes. These storms are expected to quickly merge into at least one line - if not several - that will continue into the overnight hours, capable of significant wind gusts.

D.J. Kayser, Meteorologist, Praedictix

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Skin Cancer High For Americans – Australia and New Zealand Worst Offenders

More from Praedictix: "Alright, it’s wake up call time. America, we need to have a talk. We’re gonna sit down and talk about skin cancer. And it’s needed. We can easily take steps that may help prevent it but many don’t. You hear this from us weather people all the time: “don’t forget your sunscreen… limit your exposure to the sun… wear your sunglasses… did I mention to apply that sunscreen!?” – your friendly neighborhood weatherman.  We’re all guilty of ignoring these warnings at one time or another (or all the time). So here’s a rather jarring number that may get your attention: One in five Americans will develop skin cancer by the age of 70.  Skin cancer is by far the most common of all cancers. Melanoma accounts for only ~1% of skin cancers (but most deadly). About 91,270 new melanomas will be diagnosed (about 55,150 in men and 36,120 in women) in 2018, according to the American Cancer Society. About 9,320 people are expected to die of melanoma (about 5,990 men and 3,330 women) in 2018."

The EPA Just Killed Three Expert Advisory Committees

More from Earther: "The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) continues to become a shell of its former self under Scott Pruitt. The latest salvo: the agency’s rejiggered science advisory board stocked with industry types just killed three committees it has traditionally relied on.  The move is another way in which Pruitt’s EPA is becoming hermetically sealed off from outside, impartial advice. In its place, industry and partisan political voices are taking greater prominence in the debates over policies that affect Americans’ health. The decision to shut down the Ecological Processes and Effects Committee, the Environmental Engineering Committee, and the Environmental Economics Advisory Committee was made at a late May meeting of the EPA’s Science Advisory Board, but researchers on the committees were only notified on Thursday. In an email reviewed by Earther, Tom Brennan, the acting director of the Science Advisory Board office told researchers that, “On the recommendation of the SAB Staff Office, the SAB, unanimously agreed, at our 5/31/18 administrative meeting, to retire three of our current seven standing committees.”"

Burning Wood as Renewable Energy Threatens Europe’s Climate Goals

More from InsideClimate News: "The European Union declared this week that it could make deeper greenhouse gas cuts than it has already pledged under the Paris climate agreement. But its scientific advisors are warning that the EU's new renewable energy policy fails to fully account for the climate impacts of burning wood for fuel.  By counting forest biomass, such as wood pellets used in power plants, as carbon-neutral, the new rules could make it impossible for Europe to achieve its climate goals, the European Academy of Sciences Advisory Council (EASAC) wrote in a strongly worded statement.   The council said the renewable energy policy's treatment of biomass is "simplistic and misleading" and could actually add to Europe's greenhouse gas emissions over the next 20 to 30 years."

Amid national debate over grid security, NERC says reliability is improving

More from Utility Drive: "NERC's assessment is good news for the power grid, but perhaps an awkward conclusion for federal officials who want to prop up struggling coal and nuclear plants. The White House has been considering a range of ways it could keep plants, particularly fossil fuel plants, from closing — but that push has been predicated on the idea that plant closures mean less reliability, which could be a threat to national security.  NERC's assessment, that the North American grid continues to become more reliable, would seem to reject that argument.   The North American bulk power system was hit by two Category 5 storms last year: hurricanes Harvey and Irma. The affected areas recovered "in record time," which NERC said demonstrates improved resilience of the North American bulk power system."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Sunday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser

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