We Finally Hit 50 On Saturday In The Twin Cities
Yes, the Twin Cities finally hit 50 for the first time this year Saturday. The last time we had hit 50 was back on December 4th.
The average first 50 in the Twin Cities occurs on March 9th, so we are just a touch behind this year. Last year we saw our first 50 on February 17th.
The latest ever first 50 in Twin Cities history was back in 1962, when it didn’t occur until April 17th. There have been 14 years where the first 50 didn’t occur until April. The last time the first 50 wasn’t until April was back in 2001, when we had to wait until April 4th. Luckily this year wasn’t one of those waiting years!
Spring Officially Arrives at 11:15 am Tuesday
By Paul Douglas
"Spring forever appears the soothing music part of lyrics unspoken. It thaws the frozen fears, mends the wounded heart that Winter has broken" wrote Aarno Davidson.
We're all paid up on our cold, snow and ice tax - our reward should be a long, luxurious summer season. At least in theory. The summer of '18 is still a mystery, but spring is in no great hurry.
The Spring Equinox is Tuesday at 11:15 am, when the sun's rays fall directly on the equator. Then why am I still shivering convulsively? Saturday's 50-degree high came about 12 days later than average. The snowiest winter since 2014 has left dirty drifts behind - snow and ice acts as a brake on temperatures, limiting how mild it can get.
The average high is 43F, and we'll be close to that mark into next week. No Mega-Tournament-Snowstorms brewing, just a coating of slush late Tuesday; maybe a cold rain ending as slushy snow on Saturday.
Lose the parkas - but keep a heavy jacket handy. No more subzero chill, but we haven't seen the last of the flakes just yet.
Remember, a slow meltdown lowers the risk of river flooding.
Extended Twin Cities Forecast
MONDAY: Cloudy and cool. High 41. Low 27. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind NE 8-13 mph.
TUESDAY: Light snow & flurries. Slushy coating? High 36. Low 25. Chance of precipitation 60%. Wind E 5-10 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Clouds linger, seasonably cool. High 42. Low 29. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind SE 3-8 mph.
THURSDAY: More clouds than sun. High 44. Low 33. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind E 5-10 mph.
FRIDAY: Cold rain arrives late in the day. High 45. Low 35. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind E 10-15 mph.
SATURDAY: Rain may end as period of wet snow. High 39. Low 28. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind NE 10-20 mph.
SUNDAY: Peeks of sun, a drier day. High 43. Low 32. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind SE 7-12 mph.
This Day in Weather History
2012: This is the 4th day in a row that the Twin Cities reaches at least 79 degrees, and the 8th record high in a 10 day span.
1977: An energy emergency finally ends in Minnesota. It was caused by the extended cold.
Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
Average High: 43F (Record: 79F set in 2012)
Average Low: 25F (Record: -15F set in 1875)
Average Precipitation: 0.06" (Record: 1.09" set in 1897)
Average Snow: 0.3" (Record: 8.8" set in 1943)
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Sunrise: 7:17 AM
Sunset: 7:24 PM
*Length Of Day: 12 hours, 6 minutes and 22 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~3 minutes and 9 seconds
*Next Sunrise Before 7:00 AM: March 29th (6:59 AM)
*Next Sunset Of 7:30 PM Or Later: March 24th (7:30 PM)
*When Do We Hit 13 Hours Of Daylight? April 6th (Daylight Length: 13:02:46)
Minnesota Weather Outlook
A few flurries will be possible Monday across mainly northern Minnesota before a batch of snow moves into western and southern Minnesota during the evening and overnight hours. Highs will be in the 30s and 40s.
Highs will be slightly below average across the state Monday, with the coldest weather vs. average expected across parts of the Arrowhead.
Highs are expected to be in the 30s to 40s this week in the Twin Cities, with the warmest days expected toward the end of the week ahead/with a strong storm system which will move into the region (more on that in a moment).
The next chance of snow will work in Monday Night into Tuesday across mainly western and southern Minnesota. Accumulations are expected to be on the lighter side, with the potential of up to 2-3” of snow greatest across parts of western and southwestern Minnesota.
As we head toward the end of the week, we will be watching a strong storm system which will lift in our direction. What can be certainly said with this system: precipitation is expected, and looks to be in the form of rain and snow at the moment. Above is the forecast precipitation, which shows a good 1”+ of liquid with this system. How much of that falls as snow will be determined as we get closer to the end of the week, as it will depend on when rain changes to snow.
National Weather Forecast
A low moving across the southern United States will bring widespread showers and storms from the Kansas into the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic Monday. A few of these storms from Tennessee to northern Florida will likely be on the strong side. Some snow will be possible from the Rockies into Minnesota.
Severe weather is possible Monday from southern Kentucky into northern Florida. There is an enhanced risk of severe weather across parts of Tennessee, Alabama and Georgia. This is the area that has the highest potential of tornadoes (a few of which could be strong), damaging winds and large hail during the afternoon and evening.
The severe threat will continue into Tuesday across parts of Florida, where an enhanced risk of severe weather is in place across northern parts of the state. Storms will be possible in the morning and afternoon that would be capable of damaging winds and potentially a tornado or two.
Through early Friday morning, we are expecting a few areas of heavier precipitation. One is from the central Plains into the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, where over 2" of rain could fall in spots. Some of the heaviest precipitation is expected on Monday in these areas. Precipitation will be working into the western United States Tuesday through at least the middle of the week, with some areas seeing over 3" of precipitation.
Several inches of snow is possible across the mountains in the western United States through midday Wednesday. An area of 1-4" of snow will be possible from the Dakotas into western Minnesota. Some snow will also be possible with a couple passing systems from the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic.
Disaster Aid Can Be Applied For In Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana and New Mexico
Parts of four states, including 60 counties in Texas, can apply for emergency loans from the USDA Farm Service Agency. More from the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal: "The U.S. Department of Agriculture has designated 60 Texas counties, including most on the South Plains and Panhandle, as primary natural disaster areas because of losses and damage from the lingering drought. In a statement Wednesday, the USDA designated the counties of the Texas Panhandle and South Plains, along with those along the Red River and in northeastern Texas. Also covered by the designation are counties in Arkansas, Louisiana and New Mexico that are contiguous with the Texas disaster zone. Trent Hoffeditz, a National Weather Service meteorologist in Amarillo, said it was hard to say when the drought would end. No chance for rain is in the weather service’s seven-day forecast for the region, he said."
FEMA No Longer Mentions Climate Change In Planning Document
New strategic planning documents for FEMA have elminated references to climate change. More from NPR: "The document does not say what could be contributing to "rising natural hazard risk," or what conditions could require the "increased investments in pre-disaster mitigation." Similarly, under a section about "Emerging Threats," the document cites cybersecurity and terrorism. There are no references to global warming, rising sea levels, extreme weather events or any other term related to the potential impact of rising surface temperatures."
"Berlin's Living Lab Project Helps CO2 Addicts Cut Back"
Interesting results in just a few months from an experiment underway in Berlin. Maybe it should give us hope that individuals can reduce our own carbon footprints one home at a time. More from Earther: "We’re all fossil fuel junkies, and the dangerous byproduct of our habit—CO2—is killing the planet. We need to quit, but since we’re unlikely to go cold turkey, it’s probably time for an intervention. In Berlin, such an effort is underway with a year-long living lab experiment. One hundred households are aiming to cut their carbon footprints 40 percent over the course of this year. Since the lab launched in December, several of the households have already reached that goal in the first few months."
- D.J. Kayser