"In 118 years of snow depth measurements in Twin Cities, a white Christmas happens about 72% of the time. From 1899 to 2017 there have been 34 years with either a "zero" or a "trace." The last time the Twin Cities has seen a brown Christmas was 2015. 2014 was also a "brown Christmas." The deepest snow cover on December 25th was in 1983 with a hefty 20 inches. It was also a very cold Christmas in 1983, with the high temperature of one (1) degree F. It was not the coldest Christmas Day in the Twin Cities. That dubious award goes to 1996 with a "high" temperature of 9 below zero F. The warmest Christmas Day in the Twin Cities was 51 degrees in 1922. There was not a white Christmas that year. In fact, the Minneapolis Weather Bureau log book for that day states that the day felt "spring-like."
Weather Outlook For Saturday, December 15th
6 to 10 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA's CPC, the extended temperature outlook from December 19th to the 23rd suggests that temperatures will be warmer than average across much of the nation.
"How To Tell If Your Symptoms Are The Flu Or Just A Cold"
A sustained period of freezing temperatures jump-started Minnesota’s ice fishing season this year, but the weekend deaths of two fishermen northwest of Little Falls underscored observations from around the state that ice conditions are tricky. “You really still have to be cautious,’’ Tim Sonenstahl of Wayzata Bait & Tackle said. He said Tuesday that Lake Minnetonka’s deepest areas are now frozen, but ice thickness across some of those large surfaces is inconsistent and too thin in some areas to travel by foot. Some areas have only recently hardened after being kept open by flocks of ducks. Covered with snow, they now look no different than ice that is safe to walk on, he said. Sonenstahl said Minnetonka’s ice is 7 to 8 inches thick on small bays like Black Lake and Seton Lake. Carson Bay, larger and popular for fishing, was covered Tuesday by 4 to 7 inches, he said. The good news for anglers is that the ice is getting thicker by the day, he said."
Quiet weather conditions will continue through the weekend and into early next week. In fact, I don't see much precipitation potential through much of next week either! Commuters will be happy, but snow lovers and meteorologists alike are quite bored...
By Paul Douglas
SATURDAY: Partly sunny and mild. Winds: S 7-12. High: 40.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and quiet. Winds: SSE 5-10. Low: 26.
SUNDAY: Blue sky. Winter on hold. Winds: W 8-13. High: 42.
MONDAY: Blue sky. No complaints. Winds: SE 5-10. Wake-up: 21. High: 34.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. A pacific breeze. Winds: S 8-13. Wake-up: 24. High: 41.
WEDNESDAY: Clouds increase. Late flurries? Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 29. High: 38.
THURSDAY: Early flakes. Cooler breeze kicks in. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 28. High: 34.
FRIDAY: Peeks of sun. Still quiet out there. Winds: SE 3-8. Wake-up: 21. High: 33.
This Day in Weather History
1971: A snowstorm hits Duluth with 10 inches.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 27F (Record: 51F set in 2014)
Average Low: 12F (Record: -21F set in 1901)
Record Rainfall: 0.71" set in 1902
Record Snowfall: 7.0" set in 1902
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~8 hours & 48 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~32 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): 6 hours and 35 Minutes
Moon Phase for December 15th at Midnight
0.8 Days Since First Quarter Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights:
"Now – mid-December 2018 – it’s time to get outside in the early morning and try to spot our sun’s innermost planet, Mercury. Look east, the sunrise direction. You can’t miss super-bright Venus. Mercury is below it, near the sunrise point. If you look extra hard with the unaided eye or binoculars, you might spot bright Jupiter near the horizon, too, on a line with Venus and Mercury. Mercury shines more brightly than a 1st-magnitude star now; in other words, it’s as bright as the brightest stars in our sky (but not nearly as brilliant as Venus). Bring along binoculars, if you have them, though. With daylight coming up fast, you could easily lose Mercury in the morning twilight."
National Weather Outlook
Weather conditions in the Southern and Eastern US will continue to remain active as a fairly potent storm system slides across the region. The good news is that temps won't be quite as cold as it was last weekend, so snow and ice concerns will remain limited. However, areas of heavy rain and a few strong to severe storms will still be possible into Saturday. Meanwhile, another push of Pacific moisture will work into the Northwest with areas of heavy coastal rain and heavy mountain snow. The rest of the country looks to remain quiet.
7 Day Precipitation Potential
According to NOAA's WPC, the 7 day precipitation potential suggests heavy precipitation continuing in the eastern part of the country with isolated flood concerns possible through the weekend. Meanwhile, several inches of liquid will be possible along the West Coast with isolated flood concerns along the coast and areas of heavy snow likely in the mountains.
"Climate change is 'shrinking winter'"
"Snowy mountain winters are being "squeezed" by climate change, according to scientists in California. Researchers who studied the winter snowfall in the mountains there revealed that rising temperatures are reducing the period during which snow is on the ground in the mountains - snow that millions rely on for their fresh water. They presented their findings at the American Geophysical Union meeting - the world's largest gathering of Earth and space scientists. "Our winters are getting sick and we know why," said Prof Amato Evan, from the Scripps Research Institute in San Diego, who carried out the investigation. "It's climate change; it's rising temperatures."
"Will we ever be able to control gravity?"
"The only hope of tailoring gravity to our needs lies with quantum vacuum effects, in which energy and particles and anti-particles appear out of nowhere. These are predicted to have anti-gravitational properties, and may already be propelling the expansion of the Universe in the form of ‘dark energy’. But as yet no-one has any idea how to generate and manipulate such effects to order."
"Warming in Arctic raises fears of ‘rapid unraveling’ of the region"
"Persistent warming in the Arctic is pushing the region into “uncharted territory” and increasingly affecting the continental United States, scientists said Tuesday. “We’re seeing this continued increase of warmth pervading across the entire Arctic system,” said Emily Osborne, an official with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, who presented the agency’s annual assessment of the state of the region, the “Arctic Report Card.” The Arctic has been warmer over the last five years than at any time since records began in 1900, the report found, and the region is warming at twice the rate as the rest of the planet. Osborne, the lead editor of the report and manager of NOAA’s Arctic Research Program, said the Arctic was undergoing its “most unprecedented transition in human history.”
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