WOW - what a spectacular Saturday it was with high temps reaching the 70s and low 80s across the southern half of the state. In fact, high temps in the Twin Cities were the warmest of 2019 so far and the warmest since October 3rd when the mercury reach 79F. Easter Sunday weather looks a litte less impressive with more clouds and a few T-showers. While it won't be a washout, early morning egg hunts may have to move indoors this year...
Weather Outlook For Easter Sunday
Here's a look at Easter Sunday, which shows warm temps continuing across the southeastern part of the state. Rochester, MN could see readings in the upper 70s to near 80F, which will be nearly +15F to +20F above average, while folks in the northern half of the state will see highs in the 40s and 50s.
Rain & Rumbles Sunday into Monday
Here's the weather outlook from Sunday into Monday, which shows another storm system drifting through the Upper Midwest with areas of showers and storms. While a few spotty T-showers maybe possible across MN on Sunday, it appears the soggiest day will be Monday and mainly across the southern half of the state.
Another Soggy Spring Day
According to NOAA's NDFD data, folks across the southern half of the state and into Wisconsin could see another 0.50" to nearly 0.75" tallies as our next system rolls through the region. Again, it appears the wettest day will be on Monday when steady rain and a few rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out.
Weather Outlook Ahead
Here's the weather outlook through the end of April and into the first few days of May and I think it's safe to safe that spring has FINALLY sprung! High temps on Saturday were the warmest we've seen since October 3rd, 2018 and it sure was nice! The extended outlook looks a little cooler on Monday thanks to some scattered showers/storms, but we should warm fairly quick to slightly above average levels on Wednesday.
Warmer 2nd Half of Next Week
The temperature anomaly as we head into the 2nd half of next week suggests warmer than average temperatures returning to much of the Upper Midwest.
"Tips to prevent ticks as the weather gets warmer"
"Going outside is great as the weather gets warmer but there are some creatures you need to watch out for while spending time outdoors. May is Lyme Disease Awareness Month and the dangerous disease is spread by ticks. There are ways to keep yourself safe and healthy though. Nancy Troyano, Ph.D. is a Board Certified Entomologist with Ehrlich Pest Control and she provided some information that can help keep you, your family and your pets safe from ticks. Just because your yard isn’t near a wooded area doesn’t mean it will be tick free. So what can you do to protect yourself? The most effective protective actions you can take against ticks are to wear an EPA-approved insect repellent when you spend time outdoors – even in your own yard. Also, wear long-sleeved shirts, long pants, and socks when you are working in your yard, hiking, or in wooded areas. After being outside, do a head-to-toe check for ticks. Adults should also do this check on children. Manage Vegetation: Barrier treatments of yards, especially those in areas susceptible to tick activity. Barrier treatments include the application of a low-impact product to vegetation around the perimeter of your yard to repel ticks. These treatments need to be repeated multiple times throughout the tick season to remain effective."
"Lyrid meteor shower: All you need to know"
A few folks have been reporting shooting stars or meteors over the last few nights and that's because the annual Lyrid Meteor Shower is only a few days away from peaking on Apirl 23rd!!
"The annual Lyrid meteor shower is active each year from about April 16 to 25. In 2019, the peak of this shower – which tends to come in a burst and usually lasts for less than a day – is expected to fall on the morning of April 23, under the light of a bright waning gibbous moon. Should you skip the shower? Well, maybe. But we’re already hearing from skywatchers who don’t plan to skip it, especially after the months-long meteor drought that always comes between early January and the Lyrid shower each year. There are no major meteor shower during those months, as you can see by looking at EarthSky’s meteor shower guide. So, many meteor-watchers are itching to get going, and it’s unlikely moonlight will dampen their enthusiasm. No matter where you are on Earth, the greatest number of meteors tend to fall during the few hours before dawn. Keep reading to find some tips for watching the 2019 Lyrids in moonlight."
"EarthSky’s 2019 meteor shower guide"
You might be interested to know that there are several metero showers during the year, but there are certainly a few more notible ones like the Perseids in mid August. Take a look at the list of meteor showers that EarthSky has compiled as they have everything you need to know about each one for the rest of 2019!!
It's been a pretty wet start to the month of April thus far, in fact, most locations in the southern half of the state are at least 1" above average. MSP has accumulated 3.32" of liquid, which is near 2" above average! Also note that MSP has seen 9.8" of snow this month, which is tied for the 10th snowiest April on record!
Unreal! Hard to believe that it was only 10 days ago when blizzard warnings were in place across the region. The MSP picked up a total of 9.8" during that storm, while some folks in far western MN and into eastern SD saw nearly 20" to 30", which is largely gone! The only spots that still have some snow on the ground is in the Arrowhead and also across Wisconsin and the U.P. of Michigan.
10th Snowiest April on Record at MSP So Far...
Our April 10-12 snow event accumulated 9.8" of snow at the MSP Airport, which not only made it the 5th largest April snow event on record, but it also pushed us into the 10th snowiest April on record spot! Note that MSP only averages 2.4" of snow in April, so we are wewll above average!
April 2019 Snowfall So Far...
Thanks to our latest April snow storm, areas of heavy snow fell across the region. Note that some of the heaviest fell across parts of South Dakota, Central MN (including the Twin Cities) and into northern Wisconsin. Quite a few locations have seen double digits tallies, which is well above average!
Here's a neat map from Journey North, which shows the migration of one of our most beloved summer feathered friends, the hummingbird! It's amazing to think that they migrate across the Gulf of Mexico to make it all the way home. According to the map below, they are getting close!! you can see fairly widespread reports across the southern half of the US, but they're still a bit spotty closer to the Great Lakes and the Upper Midwest.
"Phenology is the biological nature of events as they relate to climate. Every Tuesday morning, our resident Phenologist John Latimer gathers his phenological data and reports his findings in the weekly Phenology Report. In this week's report, John compares what he's seeing this year to past year's data collection. Among the wildlife activity he's documented so far this year, John has witnessed buffleheads, hooded mergansers, and flickers."
"Pollen count warning: ‘Deadly pollen bomb’ could prove fatal if you have this condition"
"HIGH pollen counts have been forecast across the UK, spelling trouble for people with allergies like hay fever. But these aren’t the only people who will suffer - high pollen counts could also put some people at risk of a potentially life-threatening condition. High pollen counts have been forecast all week by the Met Office and are predicted to last until Sunday, with Britons set for the hottest day of the year this weekend according to the Met Office UK weather forecast. Hay fever sufferers will be doing everything they can to prevent symptoms such as sneezing, coughing, itchy eyes and a runny nose. But a charity has also warned the “pollen bomb” could be “deadly” for some. Sonia Munde, head of services at Asthma UK, warned at the beginning of the week: “A deadly pollen bomb is due to his this week, putting people with asthma at risk of a potentially life-threatening asthma attack. “Around 3.3 million people with asthma are affected pollen, which can cause symptoms such as wheezing, a tight chest or coughing."
Tree Pollen Running High in the Twin Cities
Ice Out Dates
Ice out season continues in MN and according to the MN DNR, there are a few lakes that are officially ice out across the southern half of the state including a few in the Twin Cities. In fact, Lake Calhoun went out on April 10th, which is only one day later than the average ice out on April 9th. We are still waiting for Lake Minnetonka to be ice free, which typically goes ice free on April 13th.
Average Ice Out Dates
Here's a look at average ice out dates across Minnesota. Note that most lakes around the metro go out in April, so within the next week or 2, you should see open water. However, folks closer to the international border may not see open water until the end of April or early part of May. Spring is on the way!!
Ice Safey Reminder
"April 15, 2019 - Spring leaf out continues to spread north. In the west, spring leaf out is 1-2 weeks early in parts of California and Nevada, and 2-3 weeks late in much of Oregon and Washington. In the east, spring leaf out is 1-2 weeks early in the upper Southeast, and 1-2 weeks late across the Great Plains, southern Midwest and Mid-Atlantic. Spring leaf out is one week late in Chicago, IL and Cleveland, OH. Spring bloom has arrived on time to 2 weeks early in much of the South. Parts of Arizona, California, Nevada, and the Southern Great Plains are 1-2 weeks late. Spring bloom is on time in Washington, D.C., and one week late in the Portland, OR and Seattle, WA areas."
By Paul Douglas
"So Paul, is it safe to retire my winter coat and boots?" a friendly stranger inquired. How 'bout those Twins! I'd rather talk about your 401K. "Sure seems like we got punished in April because we didn't suffer enough in March" he added, before giving up on an answer. I don't want to jinx spring.
Although yesterday almost made up for the slushy pain inflicted earlier this month. Picture Postcard Perfect. Consider it an atmospheric apology for snowy transgressions.
A frontal boundary approaches today, increasing the odds of bumping into a shower or T-storm. Steadier rain arrives tonight & Monday, up to an inch of rain may fall before skies clear Tuesday. Expect a run of 60s next week; a shower risk early Thursday - then heavier showers and T-storms next weekend. I wouldn't be shocked to see a severe storm outbreak one week from today for parts of Minnesota.
This might be a good time to review safety tips and make sure you have a plan when warnings are issued.
Minnesota experiences an average of 40 tornadoes every year. It's good to be prepared.
EASTER SUNDAY: Passing shower/T-storm. Winds: NE 8-13. High: 71.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Chance of rain/rumbles Winds: NNE 10. Low: 48.
MONDAY: Widespread, steadier rain. Winds: NE 10-20. High: 51.
TUESDAY: Blue sky returns. Very pleasant. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: 40. High:64.
WEDNESDAY: Mild sun, T-storm risk at night. Winds: SW 10-15. Wake-up: 45. High: 67.
THURSDAY: Wet start, then clearing skies. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 51. High: 64.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny, probably dry. Winds: NW 7-12. Wake-up: 45 High: 60.
SATURDAY: Scattered showers and T-storms. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 49. High: 64.
This Day in Weather History
1910: A snowstorm hits northeastern Minnesota. Duluth picks up 6.5 inches.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 61F (Record: 95F set in 1980)
Average Low: 40F (Record: 22F set in 1966)
Record Rainfall: 0.74" set in 1912
Record Snowfall: 6.6" set in 2012
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~13 hours & 47 minutes
Daylight GAINED since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 57 seconds
Daylight GAINED since winter solstice (December 21st): ~5 hours and 2 minutes
Moon Phase for April 21st at Midnight
2.8 Day After Full "Pink" Moon
"6:12 a.m. CDT - The grass pink or wild ground phlox is one of the earliest widespread flowers of the spring. Other names were the Full Sprouting Grass Moon, the Egg Moon and — among coastal tribes — the Full Fish Moon, when the shad come upstream to spawn. In 2019, this is also the Paschal Full Moon; the first full moon of the spring season. The first Sunday following the Paschal Moon is Easter Sunday, which indeed will be observed two days after the full moon on Sunday (April 21). This is an unusually late Easter, four days shy of the latest date that Easter can fall."
What's in the Night Sky?
According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights:
"Tonight – April 21, 2019 – the moon is just a few days past full. Meanwhile, the Lyrid meteor shower is expected to put forth its greatest number of meteors during the predawn hours on April 22 and, especially, April 23. If you’re a veteran meteor-watcher, you’re already shaking your fist at the moon. Its glare will drown out all but the brightest Lyrids. However, the moon offers its own delights, sweeping past Jupiter – the largest planet in our solar system and second-brightest planet in our skies – in the coming mornings. Also, you can look for the bright star Vega, which nearly marks the radiant point of the Lyrid meteor shower. Both Jupiter and Vega should have no trouble overcoming the moon-drenched skies. Find them, enjoy them … and maybe you’ll spot a meteor, too! The greatest number of Lyrid meteors usually fall in the few hours before dawn. That’s when the radiant point – near the star Vega in the constellation Lyra – is highest in the sky. For that reason, that’s when you’re likely to see the most meteors. Note for Southern Hemisphere observers: Because this shower’s radiant point is so far north on the sky’s dome, you’ll see fewer Lyrid meteors. But you might see some! Try watching between midnight and dawn on April 22 and/or 23. On a dark night, this shower typically offers about 10 to 15 meteors per hour at its peak. Unfortunately, in 2019, the moon is sure to bleach out a good number of Lyrid meteors. Hopefully, a few of the brighter ones will prevail over the moolight."
National Weather Outlook
Sept. 10 to Nov. 2, 2018: Severe storms and flooding in South Central Texas
June 19 to July 13, 2018: The Great June Flood in the Rio Grande Valley
Aug. 23 to Sept. 15, 2017: Hurricane Harvey
May 22 to June 24, 2016: Severe storms and flooding in the Houston and Abilene regions
April 17 to 30, 2016: Tax Day Flood
March 7 to March 29, 2016: Severe storms, tornadoes and flooding in North and East Texas
Dec. 26, 2015 to Jan. 21, 2016: Severe winter storms, tornadoes, straight-line winds and flooding in North Texas and the Panhandle
Oct. 22 to Oct. 31, 2015: Severe storms, tornadoes, straight-line winds and flooding in the Houston, Austin and Dallas-Fort Worth areas and the Rio Grande Valley
May 4 to June 22, 2015: Memorial Day Flood
Oct. 30 to Oct. 31, 2013: Severe storms and flooding in the Austin area
Apr. 17 to Apr. 20, 2013: West Fertilizer Company explosion north of Waco