"2018 Atlantic, Pacific Hurricane Season Most Active on Record"
This hurricane season is the busiest we've ever seen—and we still have more than a month to go before it's over. If you combine all the hurricanes and tropical storms that formed in both the Atlantic and eastern Pacific oceansthis year, the 2018 hurricane season is the most active in recorded history, USA TODAY reported, citing Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach. To measure the activity of a hurricane season, meteorologists use the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index which takes into account the combined number, strength and duration of tropical cyclones that formed. The average ACE for the Atlantic and eastern Pacific seasons together is 221 units of energy. But this year? The combined Atlantic/Pacific ACE is 432, breaking the previous record of 371 set in 1992, according to Klotzbach."
Super Typhoon Yutu
Fall Color Peeping
Hey, it's Halloween next Wednesday and thanks to @Climatologist49 on Twitter for the image below, which shows the historical probability of a white Halloween.
White Halloweens in Minneapolis
Here's a look at snowfall data on Halloween for Minneapolis and since 1899 (119 years of data), there has only been snow reported on 20 days and only 6 days with measureable snow (0.1" or more). Of course, who could forget the Halloween Blizzard of 1991. A record 8.2" of snow fell on Halloween day itself, but the storm dumped a total of 28.4" at the MSP Airport - UNREAL!
2018 Was Most Active Hurricane Season on Record
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas
Happy Sunday and welcome to the end of October! That's good news for folks living along coasts in the northern hemisphere as it means hurricane season will be winding down sooner rather than later.
According to Phil Klotzbach, hurricane meteorologist at Colorado State University, 2018 was the most active season on record for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific combined.
ACE or Accumulated Cyclone Energy is a unit of energy that takes into account the number, strength and duration of all tropical cyclones that have formed. This year that number tallied to 432, nearly double the average and beating the previous record of 371 set in 1992, the same year Hurricane Andrew hit Florida as a category 5 storm! This year, Michael hit Florida as a category 5 storm as well.
It'll be a damp and breezy start today as a quick moving clipper departs. We should get a little taste of sunshine over the next few days with temps touching 60 Monday. Models are hinting at a chilly Halloween and maybe even some snow for the MN Deer Hunting Opener!
SUNDAY: Damp & breezy AM. Winds: NW 10-25. High: 53.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and cool. Winds: NW 5-10. Low: 38.
MONDAY: A bit warmer. Some sunshine. Winds: SSE 5-15. High: 60.
TUESDAY: Brighter sky. Cooler PM breeze. Winds: WSW 5-10. Wake-up: 42. High: 55.
WEDNESDAY: Witch watch. Chilly for trick-or-treaters. Winds: WNW 5-10. Wake-up: 36. High: 45.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A few flurries. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 31. High: 43.
FRIDAY: Peeks of sun. Extra layer worthy. Winds: WNW 5-10. Wake-up: 30. High: 40.
SATURDAY: Rain snow mix develops. Winds: SSE 10-20. Wake-up: 27. High: 38.
This Day in Weather History
1960: A 29-day dry stretch in west central Minnesota ends.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 52F (Record: 75F set in 1948)
Average Low: 35F (Record: 17F set in 1925)
Record Rainfall: 1.97" set in 1874
Record Snowfall: 0.4" set in 1895
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 21 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~2 minutes & 51 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): 5 hours and 10 Minutes
Moon Phase for October 28th at Midnight
2.4 Days Before Last Quarter
What's in the Night Sky?
According to EarthSky.org this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights:
"The planets Mercury and Jupiter appear quite close together on the sky’s dome during the last several days of October 2018. Far and away, though, the Southern Hemisphere has the advantage over the Northern Hemisphere for witnessing this celestial attraction in the deepening glow of evening twilight. But even from southerly latitudes, Mercury and Jupiter sit rather low in the sky at sunset, and then follow the sun beneath the horizon around nightfall. Our feature sky chart at top is for around 35 degrees south latitude to accommodate our friends in the Southern Hemisphere. We figure that all places north of the tropic of Cancer will have difficulty catching Mercury and Jupiter (especially Mercury) after sunset, although EarthSky watchers have surprised us before and may well surprise us again. Given an unobstructed horizon at 35 degrees north latitude, Mercury struggles to stay out as long as one hour after the sun, whereas Jupiter stays out for about one hour and 10 minutes after sunset. In the days ahead, Mercury will set a little later and Jupiter a little earlier. Given a level horizon at 35 degrees south latitude, Mercury and Jupiter stay out for a whopping 1 3/4 hours after the sun. In the days ahead – just as in the Northern Hemisphere – Mercury will set a little later and Jupiter a little earlier. Want to know when the sun, Mercury and Jupiter set in your sky? Click here if you live in the US or Canada, or click here if you live elsewhere worldwide."
1.) Periods of heavy precipitation over western Washington, Mon-Fri, Oct 29-Nov 2.
2.) Periods of heavy precipitation over portions of the northern Rockies, Wed-Fri, Oct 31-Nov 2.
3.) Heavy snow for portions of the central Rockies, Wed-Thu, Oct 31-Nov 1.
4.) Periods of heavy rain from the general vicinity of the Lower Mississippi Valley northeast to the Upper Ohio Valley, Wed-Fri, Oct 31-Nov 2.
5.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation from the Lower Mississippi Valley eastward and northeastward to most of the Atlantic Coast, Sat, Nov 3.
6.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation for the northern and central Rockies, Sat-Sun, Nov 3-4.
7.) Slight risk of heavy precipitation for south-central and southeastern Alaska (including the Panhandle), Sat-Fri, Nov 3-9.
8. High winds and high significant wave heights for southwestern Alaska, Tue-Fri, Nov 6-9.
Flooding imminent/occurring over parts of Texas, and along the banks of the north-central Mississippi River.
9.) Severe Drought across the Central Rockies, the Northeast, the Central Great Basin, the Northern Plains, the Southern Plains, the Northern Great Basin, the Southern Rockies, California, the Northern Rockies, the Alaska Panhandle, the Pacific Northwest, and the Southwest.
Subtropical Storm Oscar in the Atlantic
Another named storm has developed in the Atlantic Basin and it's Oscar! The good news is that this storm is not expected to impact the US and it slowly drifts north over the next few days.
Here's a look at the official NHC track for Oscar, which shows it drifiting west through the weekend and could briefly become a hurricane early next week as it turns north. Again, the good news is that this storm is expected to remain a "Fish" storm and stay over open water.