2.28" Rain at MSP Since Midnight and Counting: Flash Flood Warnings Today
June 19, 2014 — 8:19am
Flash Flood Warning. Another wave of heavy T-storms is pushing into the Twin Cities, where over 2" of rain has already fallen since midnight - more heavy rain is imminent, and flooding of streets, streams and poor drainage areas is likely, especially south metro to Mankato and Red Wing, where recent flooding has been extensive. Details on the Flash Flood Warning:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 706 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTH CENTRAL HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 100 PM CDT
* AT 702 AM CDT...THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER MINNEHAHA CREEK AND HAS CAUSED WATER LEVELS TO RISE QUICKLY.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... EDINA...MINNETONKA AND SOUTH MINNEAPOLIS.
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.
FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN MINNEHAHA CREEK FROM LAKE MINNETONKA TO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
We will see cold relapses into March and April, but nothing bitter/arctic is on the horizon looking out 2-3 weeks. A mild bias continues with temperatures 10 F. above average today and Tuesday. After cooling off late in the week 50s may return next weekend. No headline-grabbing storms (you remember those) on tap, just a little rain tomorrow. Winter is winding down faster than expected...
Natural variability, El Nino kicking in - many factors may explain why it's been in the 70s and 80s out east (with tornadoes in unusual places for February). Minnesota just experienced the warmest, most prolonged February warmth on record (since 1871). A fluke? Perhaps, but what we're witnessing is consistent with a slowly warming planet. Hate to keep banging the drum, but ignoring the trends won't make them go away.
How did you cope with the (fake) Blizzard of '17? Residents of the metro are rolling their eyes, but 75 miles southeast of MSP it was a full-blown blizzard with a foot of snow, ice and high winds creating treacherous travel conditions. Which is vaguely interesting, but it didn't happen in my yard, so it doesn't matter, right? I get it: all weather, like politics, is local. The sun comes out today with less wind; temperatures moderating into the low 40s early next week.
Back on Monday I predicted "a couple of inches" for today. Then some of NOAA's models began showing crazy amounts of snow, as much as 12-15" in the immediate metro, so I ratcheted up expected snowfall amounts (you can't ignore the NAM model, right?) Turns out my initial instincts were closer to the mark. Heaviest snow bands set up south of the metro with a full-blown blizzard over southern Minnesota. Yet another example where the ECMWF (European) outperforms NOAA's models. Which doesn't make me happy, btw.